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Response of Stock Returns to Oil Price Shocks: Evidence from Oil Importing and Exporting Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Bouoiyour, Jamal

    (CATT, University of Pau)

  • Selmi, Refk

    (ERNA, University of Tunis El Manar)

  • Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad

    (ESD, Montpellier Business School)

  • Shahbaz, Muhammad

    (ESD, Montpellier Business School,)

Abstract

This paper examines the entire dependence structure of the quantile of stock return and that of oil price shocks, thereby extending the Quantile Regression to a Quantile-on- Quantile Regression. Based on historical monthly data covering the period April 1994~September 2015, it was shown that there is substantial heterogeneity in the stock returns and oil price relationship across oil importing countries and oil exporting countries. We find that the stocks of oil exporters that possess large proven oil reserves, in particular,Venezuela, Russia, and Saudi Arabia are typically more responsive toward demand-side oil shocks than those of oil importers. The intensity and the extent of these responses differ depending on the different stock market conditions and the nuances of oil price movements. profitable speculation and arbitrage strategies can be built.

Suggested Citation

  • Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2017. "Response of Stock Returns to Oil Price Shocks: Evidence from Oil Importing and Exporting Countries," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 32(4), pages 913-936.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0743
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    Cited by:

    1. Chandrarin, Grahita & Sohag, Kazi & Cahyaningsih, Diyah Sukanti & Yuniawan, Dani & Herdhayinta, Heyvon, 2022. "The response of exchange rate to coal price, palm oil price, and inflation in Indonesia: Tail dependence analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    2. Jiang, Wei & Liu, Yan, 2021. "The asymmetric effect of crude oil prices on stock prices in major international financial markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    3. Qian, Chenqi & Zhang, Tianding & Li, Jie, 2023. "The impact of international commodity price shocks on macroeconomic fundamentals: Evidence from the US and China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    4. Gupta, Rangan & Sheng, Xin & Pierdzioch, Christian & Ji, Qiang, 2021. "Disaggregated oil shocks and stock-market tail risks: Evidence from a panel of 48 economics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    5. Rodrigo A. Morales Fernández Rafaelly & Roberto J. Santillán-Salgado, 2021. "Oil price effect on sectoral stock returns: A conditional covariance and correlation approach for Mexico," Remef - Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época REMEF (The Mexican Journal of Economics and Finance), Instituto Mexicano de Ejecutivos de Finanzas, IMEF, vol. 16(1), pages 1-15, Enero - M.
    6. Rangan Gupta & Xin Sheng & Christian Pierdzioch & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Disaggregated Oil Shocks and Stock-Market Tail Risks: Evidence from a Panel of 48 Countries," Working Papers 202106, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    7. Kuang, Wei, 2023. "The equity-oil hedge: A comparison between volatility and alternative risk frameworks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    8. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Nautiyal, Neeraj & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Ghardallou, Wafa & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Is the impact of oil shocks more pronounced during extreme market conditions?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    9. Umar, Zaghum & Mokni, Khaled & Manel, Youssef & Gubareva, Mariya, 2024. "Dynamic spillover between oil price shocks and technology stock indices: A country level analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    10. Mallick, Hrushikesh & Padhan, Hemachandra & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar, 2019. "Does skewed pattern of income distribution matter for the environmental quality? Evidence from selected BRICS economies with an application of Quantile-on-Quantile regression (QQR) approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 120-131.
    11. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Nasreen, Samia & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Selmi, Refk, 2021. "Dynamic dependence of oil, clean energy and the role of technology companies: New evidence from copulas with regime switching," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    12. Mokni, Khaled, 2020. "A dynamic quantile regression model for the relationship between oil price and stock markets in oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    13. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hernandez, Jose Areola & Hanif, Waqas & Kayani, Ghulam Mujtaba, 2018. "Intraday return inefficiency and long memory in the volatilities of forex markets and the role of trading volume," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 506(C), pages 433-450.
    14. Buket Altınoz & Alican Umut, 2022. "The Relationship of Exchange Rate and Oil Price Volatilities with Stock Returns: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul Sector Indexes," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 72(72-1), pages 385-405, June.
    15. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2022. "Predictability of tail risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The role of spillovers and oil tail Risks☆," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    16. Wu, Jie & Guluzada, Esmira & Karimzada, Mehriban, 2024. "The sustainable use of natural resource markets: Moving toward greener horizons," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    17. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Predictability of Tail Risks of Canada and the U.S. Over a Century: The Role of Spillovers and Oil Tail Risks," Working Papers 202127, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil Price Shocks; Stock Returns; Dependence of Quantiles; Oil Exporting Countries; Oil Importing Countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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