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Export or Domestic-led Growth in Asia?


  • Felipe, Jesus

    (Asian Development Bank)

  • Lim, Joseph Anthony

    (Asian Development Bank)


In recent years, some developing Asian countries claim to have started shifting emphasis from export-led to domestic demand-led growth policies with a view to achieving a more balanced growth strategy. This paper evaluates empirically how far this shift has gone. The evaluation—based on an analysis of five countries—finds no evidence that the period 1993–2003 has been marked by such a shift. It also finds that periods of expansionary domestic demand and deteriorating net exports signaled an ensuing crisis. This should serve in the future as an early warning system.

Suggested Citation

  • Felipe, Jesus & Lim, Joseph Anthony, 2005. "Export or Domestic-led Growth in Asia?," Asian Development Review, Asian Development Bank, vol. 22(2), pages 35-75.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbadr:2727

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    Cited by:

    1. Charles, Sébastien & El Karouni, Ilyess, 2008. "La transformation postsocialiste chinoise : ouverture économique et contrainte extérieure," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 84(4), pages 391-413, Décembre.
    2. Duc Minh Pham & Deepak Mishra & Kee-Cheok Cheong & John Arnold & Anh Minh Trinh & Huyen Thi Ngoc Ngo & Hien Thi Phuong Nguyen, 2013. "Trade Facilitation, Value Creation, and Competiveness : Policy Implications for Vietnam's Economic Growth, Summary Report," World Bank Other Operational Studies 16786, The World Bank.
    3. Jorg Bibow, 2006. "Global Imbalances, Bretton Woods II, and Euroland's Role in All This," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_486, Levy Economics Institute.
    4. Duc Minh Pham & Deepak Mishra & Kee-Cheok Cheong & John Arnold & Anh Minh Trinh & Huyen Thi Ngoc Ngo & Hien Thi Phuong Nguyen, 2013. "Trade Facilitation, Value Creation, and Competiveness : Policy Implications for Vietnam's Economic Growth, Volume 1," World Bank Other Operational Studies 16784, The World Bank.
    5. Dollar, David, 2007. "Asian century or multi-polar century ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4174, The World Bank.
    6. Ernesto Screpanti, 2010. "La grande crisi e l’imperialismo globale," Department of Economics University of Siena 590, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    7. João Paulo Martin Faleiros & Denisard Cnéio de Oliveira Alves, 2008. "Modelo de Crescimento Baseado nas Exportações: Evidências empíricas para Chile, Brasil e México, em uma perspectiva Não Linear," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807170923500, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

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