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La sequía en Andalucía: análisis del impacto económico y evaluación del Plan SOS

Author

Listed:
  • Manuel Alejandro Cardenete Flores
  • Luz Dary Beltrán Jaimes
  • Paula Villegas

Abstract

Resumen:El objetivo del presente estudio es estimar el impacto de la sequía y del Plan SOS lanzado por la Junta de Andalucía, para hacer frente a la situación de escasez de agua en la que se encuentra la región, sobre la economía andaluza. Para ello hemos utilizado la metodología input-output cuya base de datos ha sido la Matriz de Contabilidad Social de Andalucía. Hemos realizado dos simulaciones: una primera teniendo en cuenta solo el efecto de la sequía y una segunda añadiendo a esta situación la inyección de dinero procedente de la Administración Pública.Abstract:The objective of this study is to estimate the impact of the drought in which the region finds itself and the SOS Plan launched by the Junta de Andalucía to address the water shortage on the Andalusian economy. For this, we use input‒output methodology and the Social Accounting Matrix of Andalusia database. We carry out two simulations: the first takes into account only the effect of the drought, and the second further includes the injection of money from the public administration. The results obtained reveal notable consequences of the drought on the economy (-6.2% in terms of income and -7.4% in terms of GDP) that could be reduced in the event of good execution of the aforementioned plan (-3.2% in terms of income and -3.9% in terms of GDP). In addition to economic problems, other issues such as social or political concerns may arise. Due to the essentiality of water itself, there is a serious problem to tackle in the coming years

Suggested Citation

  • Manuel Alejandro Cardenete Flores & Luz Dary Beltrán Jaimes & Paula Villegas, 2024. "La sequía en Andalucía: análisis del impacto económico y evaluación del Plan SOS," Revista de Estudios Regionales, Universidades Públicas de Andalucía, vol. 3, pages 177-197.
  • Handle: RePEc:rer:articu:v:3:y:2024:p:177-197
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Pyatt, F Graham & Round, Jeffery I, 1979. "Accounting and Fixed Price Multipliers in a Social Accounting Matrix Framework," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 89(356), pages 850-873, December.
    2. Cardenete, Manuel Alejandro & Hewings, Geoffrey, 2011. "Water Price and Water Sectoral Reallocation in Andalusia. A Computable General Equilibrium Approach1," 2011 Conference: Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture, December 6-7, 2011, Rabat, Morocco 188124, Moroccan Association of Agricultural Economics (AMAEco).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Matriz de contabilidad social; Sequía.; Andalucía; Social Accounting Matrix; Drought; Andalusia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics

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