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Determination of Share Price: Evidence from Karachi Stock Exchange

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Farhan Malik

    () (MS-Management Sciences (Finance) Scholar, Shaheed Zulfikar Ali Bhutto Institute of Science and Technology, Islamabad (Pakistan))

  • Muhammad Usman Qureshi

    () (MS-Management Sciences (Finance) Scholar, Shaheed Zulfikar Ali Bhutto Institute of Science and Technology, Islamabad (Pakistan))

  • Muhammad Azeem

    () (MBA (Finance) Scholar, Air University, Multan (Pakistan))

Abstract

Share price determination is a contradictory task, affected by lots of factors. However some methods and techniques under different schools of thought have been developed for this purpose. Study reviews the important factors and philosophical developments on the subject. It discusses determination of share price using Ohlson (1995) model. Two forms of the model are employed; one is linear valuation model and second is the non-linear product model. Latter uses the product of earnings and book value as third independent variable, in addition to traditional linear valuation model. Research employs book value per share (BVPS) and earnings per share (EPS) as used by several other authors. Empirical findings are based on the sample of fifty two companies from the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) drawn systematically on the basis of highest market capitalization. Eight years of 21st century (2002 to 2009) are chosen as study period. Statistical investigation using Fixed Effects Model (FEM) shows strong evidence for applicability of Ohlson model for KSE listed companies. It also shows that the published financial information is useful for shareholders, and fundamental analysis is pertinent with KSE to a larger extent. However product model of valuation has small improvement for valuation of companies. Adoption of more fair value accounting rules could increase this determination power.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Farhan Malik & Muhammad Usman Qureshi & Muhammad Azeem, 2012. "Determination of Share Price: Evidence from Karachi Stock Exchange," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 15(43), pages 97-114, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:rej:journl:v:15:y:2012:i:43:p:97-114
    as

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    File URL: http://www.rejournal.eu/sites/rejournal.versatech.ro/files/articole/2012-03-01/2040/malik.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Flavin, Marjorie A, 1983. "Excess Volatility in the Financial Markets: A Reassessment of the Empirical Evidence," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(6), pages 929-956, December.
    2. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & Matthew D. Shapiro, 1991. "Stock Market Forecastability and Volatility: A Statistical Appraisal," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 58(3), pages 455-477.
    3. Marsh, Terry A & Merton, Robert C, 1986. "Dividend Variability and Variance Bounds Tests for the Rationality ofStock Market Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(3), pages 483-498, June.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Share Price; Earnings; Book value; Ohlson Model; Value Determination;

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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