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Output-inflation Trade-offs: The Latin American Experience

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  • Krishna R. Akkina

    (Kansas State University, Manhattan, Kansas.)

Abstract

This paper investigates the natural rate hypothesis, using the Lucas and Hanson approaches for ten Latin American countries. The purpose of using two methods to test this hypothesis is to ascertain the robustness of the results to the underlying differences in the assumptions of these methods. The evidence strongly supports the natural rate hypothesis and the predictions of the Lucas model. The results of the Hanson method are in general consistent with the natural rate hypothesis, but they are not as conclusive as the results of the Lucas method. The evidence from the Hanson model suggests that the monetary growth predicted by past inflation performs better than the one predicted by past monetary growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Krishna R. Akkina, 1990. "Output-inflation Trade-offs: The Latin American Experience," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 29(3 and 4), pages 327-344.
  • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:29:y:1990:i:3-4:p:327-344
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sargent, Thomas J, 1976. "A Classical Macroeconometric Model for the United States," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(2), pages 207-237, April.
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    3. Barro, Robert J, 1977. "Unanticipated Money Growth and Unemployment in the United States," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(2), pages 101-115, March.
    4. Arak, Marcelle, 1977. "Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(4), pages 728-730, September.
    5. Sargent, Thomas J & Wallace, Neil, 1975. ""Rational" Expectations, the Optimal Monetary Instrument, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 83(2), pages 241-254, April.
    6. Barro, Robert J., 1976. "Rational expectations and the role of monetary policy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 1-32, January.
    7. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1973. "Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 63(3), pages 326-334, June.
    8. Froyen, Richard T & Waud, Roger N, 1980. "Further International Evidence of Output-Inflation Tradeoffs," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 409-421, June.
    9. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1977. "Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Tradeoffs: Reply," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(4), pages 731-731, September.
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