IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/phs/prejrn/v42y2005i1p55-80.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Monetary transmission mechanism in the Philippines : the interest rate channel

Author

Listed:
  • Francisco G. Dakila, Jr.
  • Ma. Digna G. Paraso

    (Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas)

Abstract

The transmission mechanism of monetary policy explains how monetary policy works—that is, how economic and financial variables respond to monetary policy actions. In view of the complexity of the transmission process, properly identifying the process as it works in the Philippines requires considerable effort and volume of work. In the context of inflation targeting, for example, an understanding of the monetary policy transmission mechanism is essential to understanding what monetary policy can and should do and at what point in time actions should be undertaken to contain or offset disturbances that could threaten the achievement of the inflation target. In this paper, we concentrate on the interest rate channel. We present initial estimates, obtained from general-to-specific modeling, and validate the results using a vector error correction model. The results confirm expectations that an increase in the 91-day Tbill rate generates a lagged reduction in the level of fixed capital formation and a decline in GDP growth, which is strongest about four quarters after the interest rate shock. However, the results also show that there is likewise an initial increase in the inflation rate; by the eighth quarter, however, inflation falls below the baseline. We view our results as an initial step in a research program that seeks to specify the various channels of monetary policy impact.

Suggested Citation

  • Francisco G. Dakila, Jr. & Ma. Digna G. Paraso, 2005. "Monetary transmission mechanism in the Philippines : the interest rate channel," Philippine Review of Economics, University of the Philippines School of Economics and Philippine Economic Society, vol. 42(1), pages 55-80, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:phs:prejrn:v:42:y:2005:i:1:p:55-80
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://pre.econ.upd.edu.ph/index.php/pre/article/view/190/602
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1996. "The Channels of Monetary Transmission: Lessons for Monetary Policy," NBER Working Papers 5464, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1995. "Symposium on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(4), pages 3-10, Fall.
    3. David Gruen & John Romalis & Naveen Chandra, 1999. "The Lags of Monetary Policy," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 75(3), pages 280-294, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Razmi, Fatemeh & Azali, M. & Chin, Lee & Shah Habibullah, Muzafar, 2016. "The role of monetary transmission channels in transmitting oil price shocks to prices in ASEAN-4 countries during pre- and post-global financial crisis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 581-591.
    2. Muhammad Ali Rizwan & Muhammad Zeeshan Younas & Hafiza Sadaf Zahra & Zartaj Jamil, 2020. "External Monetary Constraints Imposed by Developed Economies on Developing Economies: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(1), pages 7-29, March.
    3. Joeri Schasfoort & Antoine Godin & Dirk Bezemer & Alessandro Caiani & Stephen Kinsella, 2017. "Monetary Policy Transmission In A Macroeconomic Agent-Based Model," Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(08), pages 1-35, December.
    4. Hacievliyagil Nuri & Eksi Ibrahim Halil, 2019. "A Micro Based Study on Bank Credit and Economic Growth: Manufacturing Sub-Sectors Analysis," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 14(1), pages 72-91, June.
    5. J.M. Berk, 1998. "Monetary transmission: what do we know and how can we use it?," BNL Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 51(205), pages 145-170.
    6. Mark Ofoi & Parmendra Sharma, 2021. "Does the Money Multiplier Hold in Pacific Island Countries? The Case of Papua New Guinea," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-21, September.
    7. Shelja Bhatia, 2023. "Bank capital channel of monetary policy: panel data evidence for India," Indian Economic Review, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 423-443, September.
    8. Fatemeh Razmi & Azali Mohamed & Lee Chin & Muzafar Shah Habibullah, 2015. "The Role of Monetary Policy in Macroeconomic Volatility of Association of Southeast Asian Nations-4 Countries against Oil Price Shock over Time," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 5(3), pages 731-737.
    9. Kimolo, Deogratius & Bashagi, Asimwe & Sanga, Mollel, 2019. "Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Tanzania," MPRA Paper 114651, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Orphanides, Athanasios & Wieland, Volker, 2000. "Efficient Monetary Policy Design near Price Stability," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 327-365, December.
    11. Ivo J.M. Arnold, 2013. "The industry effects of monetary policy and their welfare implications," BNL Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 53(214), pages 287-315.
    12. Norrbin, Stefan, 2001. "What Have We Learned from Empirical Tests of the Monetary Transmission Effect," Working Paper Series 121, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    13. Ekundayo Peter Mesagan & Kolawole Kushimo & Dominic Ikoh Umar, 2021. "Do fluctuations in exchange rate hinder non-oil export? An analysis of agriculture and manufacturing in Nigeria," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(11), pages 1-23, November.
    14. International Monetary Fund, 2008. "Is Monetary Policy Effective When Credit is Low?," IMF Working Papers 2008/288, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Fernando N. de Oliveira & Alberto Ronchi Neto, 2011. "An Empirical Analysis of the External Finance Premium of Public Non-Financial Corporations in Brazil," Working Papers Series 255, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    16. Fatih OKUR & Ömer AKKUŞ & Atakan DURMAZ, 2019. "The effectiveness of the monetary transmission mechanism channel in Turkey," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 10, pages 161-180, June.
    17. Fatemeh Razmi & Azali Mohamed & Lee Chin & Muzafar Shah Habibullah, 2017. "How Does Monetary Policy Affect Economic Vulnerability to Oil Price Shock as against US Economy Shock?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 544-550.
    18. Oliveira, Fernando N. de & Neto, Alberto Ronchi, 2012. "An empirical analysis of the external finance premium of public non-financial corporations in Brazil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 66(3), October.
    19. Masagus M. Ridhwan & Henri L.F. de Groot & Peter Nijkamp, 2010. "The Impact of Monetary Policy on Economic Activity - Evidence from a Meta-Analysis," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-043/3, Tinbergen Institute.
    20. J.M. Berk, 1998. "Monetary transmission: what do we know and how can we use it?," Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 51(205), pages 145-170.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation targeting; interest rate; monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:phs:prejrn:v:42:y:2005:i:1:p:55-80. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: HR Rabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/seupdph.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.