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Dependency Rates and Private Savings Behavior in Developing Countries

Author

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  • Nicola Rossi

    (International Monetary Fund)

Abstract

Empirical results establishing a firm empirical relationship between dependency rates and savings behavior in developing countries are still lacking. Two demographic extensions of the representative household's stochastic dynamic optimization problem are presented. The relationship between expected dependency rates and consumption growth is shown to depend on two parameters: demographically varying committed consumption and the intertemporal elasticity of substitution. Thus, the expected path of demographic variables can provide information on consumer willingness to smooth consumption, and on the savings responsiveness to changes in the real interest rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicola Rossi, 1989. "Dependency Rates and Private Savings Behavior in Developing Countries," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 36(1), pages 166-181, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfstp:v:36:y:1989:i:1:p:166-181
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    Cited by:

    1. Reinhart, Carmen M. & Talvi, Ernesto, 1998. "Capital flows and saving in Latin America and Asia: a reinterpretation," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 45-66, October.
    2. Mr. Dhaneshwar Ghura & E. Murat Ucer & Mr. Martin Mühleisen & Mr. Michael T. Hadjimichael & Mr. Roger Nord, 1994. "Effects of Macroeconomic Stabilityon Growth, Savings, and Investment in Sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Investigation," IMF Working Papers 1994/098, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Jain, Neha & Goli, Srinivas, 2021. "Demographic Change and Private Savings in India," MPRA Paper 109561, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Matthew Higgins & Jeffrey G. Williamson, 1996. "Asian Demography and Foreign Capital Dependence," NBER Working Papers 5560, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Johansson, Sara, 1998. "Life cycles, oil cycles, or financial reforms? The growth in private savings rates in Indonesia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 111-124, January.
    6. Hajamini, Mehdi, 2015. "The non-linear effect of population growth and linear effect of age structure on per capita income: A threshold dynamic panel structural model," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 43-58.
    7. Neha Jain & Srinivas Goli, 2022. "Demographic change and private savings in India," Journal of Social and Economic Development, Springer;Institute for Social and Economic Change, vol. 24(1), pages 1-29, June.
    8. Bichaka Fayissa & Paulos Gutema, 2010. "Dependency Ratio and the Economic Growth Puzzle in Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers 201010, Middle Tennessee State University, Department of Economics and Finance.
    9. Zafar Iqbal, 1993. "Institutional Variations in Saving Behaviour in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 32(4), pages 1293-1311.
    10. Dominique Hachette, 1998. "Ahorro Privado en Chile," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 35(104), pages 3-48.
    11. Ren Wang & Rui Wang & Hongqi Ma, 2019. "The effect of healthy human capital improvement on savings and growth: An empirical study based on China’s inter-provincial panel data," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 37(1), pages 29-54.
    12. Zeynep Copur & Michael S. Gutter, 2019. "Economic, Sociological, and Psychological Factors of the Saving Behavior: Turkey Case," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 40(2), pages 305-322, June.
    13. Yaya Keho, 2011. "Long‐Run Determinants Of Savings Rates In Waemu Countries: An Empirical Assessment From Ardl Bounds Testing Approach," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 79(3), pages 312-329, September.

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