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Understanding Differences in Growth Performance in Latin America and Developing Countries between the Asian and the Global Financial Crises

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  • Roberto Alvarez
  • José De Gregorio

Abstract

Latin American performance during the global financial crisis was unprecedented. Many developing and emerging countries successfully weathered the worst crisis since the Great Depression. Was it good luck? Was it good policies? This paper compares growth during the Asian and global financial crises. It finds that a looser monetary policy played an important role in mitigating crisis. It also finds that higher private credit, more financial openness, less trade openness, and greater exchange rate intervention worsened economic performance. Better macroeconomic management was key to good economic performance, which is confirmed by our analysis of Latin American countries. Finally, there is also evidence for the sample of 31 emerging markets that high terms of trade had a positive impact on resilience.

Suggested Citation

  • Roberto Alvarez & José De Gregorio, 2014. "Understanding Differences in Growth Performance in Latin America and Developing Countries between the Asian and the Global Financial Crises," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 62(4), pages 494-525, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfecr:v:62:y:2014:i:4:p:494-525
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    2. Cristian Delgado‐Bello & Andrés Maroto Sáchez & Miguel Atienza Ubeda, 2023. "Resilience and economic structure: The case of the Chilean regions during the Asian crises and the Great Recession of 2008," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 102(1), pages 31-51, February.
    3. Álvarez, Roberto & García-Marín, Álvaro & Ilabaca, Sebastián, 2021. "Commodity price shocks and poverty reduction in Chile," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    4. Kingsley Ikechukwu Okere & Obumneke Bob Muoneke & Favour Chidinma Onuoha & Philip C. Omoke, 2022. "Tripartite relationship between FDI, trade openness and economic growth amidst global economic crisis in Nigeria: application of combined cointegration and augmented ARDL analysis," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 1-23, December.
    5. M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2023. "Slowing Growth: More Than a Rough Patch," Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers 2304, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
    6. José De Gregorio, "undated". "Inflation Targets in Latin America," Working Papers wp490, University of Chile, Department of Economics.
    7. King Yoong Lim & Diego Morris, 2023. "Firm‐level impact of the global financial crisis: Evidence on innovation from Latin America," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3902-3917, October.
    8. Thomas Barnebeck Andersen & Nikolaj Malchow-Møller, 2017. "The Macroeconomics Of A Delayed Recovery From The Global Financial Crisis: A Comparative Approach," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(05), pages 1179-1194, December.
    9. Aizenman, Joshua & Park, Donghyun & Qureshi, Irfan A. & Saadaoui, Jamel & Salah Uddin, Gazi, 2024. "The performance of emerging markets during the Fed’s easing and tightening cycles: A cross-country resilience analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    10. Jose De Gregorio, 2015. "From Rapid Recovery to Slowdown: Why Recent Economic Growth in Latin America Has Been Slow," Policy Briefs PB15-6, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    11. José De Gregorio, 2018. "Productivity in Emerging-Market Economies: Slowdown or Stagnation?," Working Paper Series WP18-12, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    12. Erdal Özmen & Özge Doğanay Yaşar, 2015. "Emerging Markets Sovereign Bond Spreads, Credit Ratings and Global Financial Crisis," ERC Working Papers 1510, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Nov 2015.

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    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

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