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Valuing and Accounting for Loan Guarantees

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  • Mody, Ashoka
  • Patro, Dilip K

Abstract

To achieve certain policy objectives, governments frequently provide private borrowers with loan guarantees that cover some or all of the risk that the borrower will be unable to repay the loan. Such guarantees are extremely valuable, and their value increases with the riskiness of the underlying asset or credit, the size of the investment, and the duration of the loan. The flip side of a guarantee's value to a lender is its cost to the government. Such a cost is not explicit but is real nevertheless. When providing guarantees, governments therefore must establish accounting, valuation, and risk-sharing mechanisms. This article describes methods of valuing guarantees; reports estimates of the value of guarantees in different settings; and summarizes new methods of accounting designed to anticipate losses, create reserves, and channel funds through transparent accounts to ensure that the costs of guarantees are evident to government decisionmakers. Copyright 1996 by Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Mody, Ashoka & Patro, Dilip K, 1996. "Valuing and Accounting for Loan Guarantees," The World Bank Research Observer, World Bank, vol. 11(1), pages 119-142, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:wbrobs:v:11:y:1996:i:1:p:119-42
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Jiaming & Lin, Xiaohua, 2017. "Assessing credit guarantee companies in China: Applying a new framework," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 98-111.
    2. Honohan, Patrick, 2010. "Partial credit guarantees: Principles and practice," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 6(1), pages 1-9, April.
    3. Polackova, Hana, 1998. "Contingent government liabilities : a hidden risk for fiscal stability," Policy Research Working Paper Series 1989, The World Bank.
    4. Kevin Cowan & Alejandro Drexler & Álvaro Yañez, 2009. "The Effect of Credit Insurance on Liquidity Constraints and Default Rates: Evidence From a Governmental Intervention," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 524, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. Patrick Reichert & Marek Hudon & Ariane Szafarz & Robert K. Christensen, 2021. "Crowding-In or Crowding-Out? How Subsidies Signal the Path to Financial Independence of Social Enterprises," Working Papers CEB 21-014, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    6. Diersen, Matthew A. & Sherrick, Bruce J., 2005. "Valuation and Efficient Allocation of GSM Export Credit Guarantees," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 30(1), pages 1-16, April.
    7. Fabio Pizzutilo & Francesco Cal, 2015. "Loan Guarantees: An Option Pricing Theory Perspective," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(4), pages 905-909.
    8. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.

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