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Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Model with Uninsurable Idiosyncratic Income Risk

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  • Sebastian Dyrda
  • Marcelo Pedroni

Abstract

We study optimal fiscal policy in a standard incomplete-markets model with uninsurable idiosyncratic income risk, where a Ramsey planner chooses time-varying paths of proportional capital and labour income taxes, lump-sum transfers (or taxes), and government debt. We find that (1) short-run capital income taxes are effective in providing redistribution since the tax base is relatively unequal and inelastic; (2) an increasing pattern of labour income taxes over time mitigates intertemporal distortions from capital income taxes; (3) the optimal policy increases overall transfers, calibrated initially to the US welfare system, by roughly ; (4) two-thirds of the welfare gains come from redistribution and the remaining third come mostly from insurance; and (5) redistribution also leads to a more efficient allocation of labour via wealth effects on labour supply—lower productivity households can afford to work relatively less.

Suggested Citation

  • Sebastian Dyrda & Marcelo Pedroni, 2023. "Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Model with Uninsurable Idiosyncratic Income Risk," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(2), pages 744-780.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:restud:v:90:y:2023:i:2:p:744-780.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/restud/rdac031
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