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An Evaluation of Alternative Multiple Testing Methods for Finance Applications

Author

Listed:
  • Campbell R Harvey
  • Yan Liu
  • Alessio Saretto
  • Jeffrey Pontiff

Abstract

In almost every area of empirical finance, researchers confront multiple tests. One high-profile example is the identification of outperforming investment managers, many of whom beat their benchmarks purely by luck. Multiple testing methods are designed to control for luck. Factor selection is another glaring case in which multiple tests are performed, but numerous other applications do not receive as much attention. One important example is a simple regression model testing five variables. In this case, because five variables are tried, a t-statistic of 2.0 is not enough to establish significance. Our paper provides a guide to various multiple testing methods and details a number of applications. We provide simulation evidence on the relative performance of different methods across a variety of testing environments. The goal of our paper is to provide a menu that researchers can choose from to improve inference in financial economics.

Suggested Citation

  • Campbell R Harvey & Yan Liu & Alessio Saretto & Jeffrey Pontiff, 2020. "An Evaluation of Alternative Multiple Testing Methods for Finance Applications," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(2), pages 199-248.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:rasset:v:10:y:2020:i:2:p:199-248.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/rapstu/raaa003
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Guillaume Coqueret, 2023. "Forking paths in financial economics," Papers 2401.08606, arXiv.org.
    2. Ardia, David & Bluteau, Keven & Tran, Thien Duy, 2022. "How easy is it for investment managers to deploy their talent in green and brown stocks?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    3. Huang, Haitao & Jiang, Lei & Leng, Xuan & Peng, Liang, 2023. "Bootstrap analysis of mutual fund performance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 235(1), pages 239-255.
    4. Cheng, Tingting & Yan, Cheng & Yan, Yayi, 2021. "Improved inference for fund alphas using high-dimensional cross-sectional tests," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 57-81.
    5. Engsted, Tom & Schneider, Jesper W., 2023. "Non-Experimental Data, Hypothesis Testing, and the Likelihood Principle: A Social Science Perspective," SocArXiv nztk8, Center for Open Science.
    6. Stephen A. Gorman & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2023. "Alternative risk premium: specification noise," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(6), pages 459-473, October.
    7. Vincent, Kendro & Hsu, Yu-Chin & Lin, Hsiou-Wei, 2021. "Investment styles and the multiple testing of cross-sectional stock return predictability," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G0 - Financial Economics - - General
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance
    • G5 - Financial Economics - - Household Finance
    • M4 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

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