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Stochastic Efficiency, Normality, and Sampling Errors in Agricultural Risk Analysis

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  • Rulon D. Pope
  • Rod F. Ziemer

Abstract

This paper examines the power of tests for efficiency. The relationship between sample size, parameter values, and the family of probability distributions is stressed. Some findings are that the probability of correctly ranking distributions is frequently very low regardless of sample size. It is generally lowest as distributional parameters (such as the means) of the two distributions being compared are of similar magnitudes. Further, the empirical distribution function performs extremely well as compared to maximum likelihood estimators.

Suggested Citation

  • Rulon D. Pope & Rod F. Ziemer, 1984. "Stochastic Efficiency, Normality, and Sampling Errors in Agricultural Risk Analysis," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 66(1), pages 31-40.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:66:y:1984:i:1:p:31-40.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sergio H. Lence & Dermot J. Hayes, 1994. "The Empirical Minimum-Variance Hedge," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 76(1), pages 94-104.
    2. Scott, R. Douglass, III & Cochran, Mark J. & Nicholson, W.F., Jr., 1986. "Economic Analysis Of Cotton Integrated Pest Management Strategies: A Comment," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 18(1), pages 1-3, July.
    3. Chalfant, James & Collender, Robert N. & Subramanfar, Shankar, 1988. "The Mean and Variance of the Mean-Variance Decision Rule," CUDARE Working Papers 198476, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    4. Brorsen, B. & Ouedraogo, Frederic, 2015. "Using Bayesian Estimation Methods to Determine Optimal Levels of Nitrogen Fertilization," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211373, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    5. Chalfant, James A. & Callender, Robert N. & Subramanian, Shankar, 1988. "The Mean And Variance Of The Mean-Variance Decision Rule," Department of Economics and Business - Archive 259434, North Carolina State University, Department of Economics.
    6. Dahl, Bruce L. & Wilson, William W. & Nganje, William E., 2004. "Stochastic Dominance in Wheat Variety Development and Release Strategies," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(1), pages 1-18, April.
    7. Frederic Ouedraogo & B. Wade Brorsen, 2018. "Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation of a Stochastic Plateau Response Function: Determining Optimal Levels of Nitrogen Fertilization," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 66(1), pages 87-102, March.
    8. McCarl, Bruce A., 1988. "Preference Among Risky Prospects Under Constant Risk Aversion," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(2), pages 25-34, December.
    9. Cochran, Mark J., 1986. "Stochastic Dominance: The State Of The Art In Agricultural Economics," Regional Research Projects > 1986: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 23-26, 1986, Tampa, Florida 271995, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
    10. King, Robert P., 1986. "Discussion Remarks On Stochastic Dominance The State Of The Art In Agricultural Economics," Regional Research Projects > 1986: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 23-26, 1986, Tampa, Florida 271996, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
    11. David Maddison, 2005. "Are There Too Many Revivals on Broadway? A Stochastic Dominance Approach," Journal of Cultural Economics, Springer;The Association for Cultural Economics International, vol. 29(4), pages 325-334, November.
    12. Meyer, Jack, 1988. "Two Moment Decision Models And Expected Utility Maximization: Some Implications For Applied Research," Regional Research Projects > 1988: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 20-23, 1988, Savannah, Georgia 272846, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
    13. Anaman, Kwabena A. & Boggess, William G., 1986. "A Stochastic Dominance Analysis Of Alternative Marketing Strategies For Mixed Crop Farms In North Florida," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 18(2), pages 1-9, December.
    14. McCarl, Bruce & Hastle, James B. & Wilson, James, 1986. "Stochastic Dominance Over Correlated Prospects," 1986 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Reno, Nevada 278146, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    15. Turvey, Calum & Zhao, Jinhua, 1999. "Parametric And Non- Parametric Crop Yield Distributions and Their Effects on All-Risk Crop Insurance Premiums," Working Papers 244742, University of Guelph, Department of Food, Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    16. van Zyl, J. & Groenewald, J. A., 1986. "A Comparison Of Certain Decision-Making Techniques Under Risk - An Empirical Investigation Of Maize Cultivar Selection," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 25(1), February.
    17. Wetzstein, Michael E. & Szmedra, Philip I. & McClendon, Ronald W. & Edwards, David M., 1988. "Efficiency Criteria And Risk Aversion: An Empirical Evaluation," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 20(1), pages 1-8, July.
    18. Fackler, Paul L. & King, Robert P., 1987. "The Evaluation of Probability Distributions with Special Emphasis on Price Distributions Derived from Option Premiums," Regional Research Projects > 1987: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 22-25, 1987, San Antonio, Texas 272343, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
    19. Pope, Rulon, 1984. "The Transformation Approach to Stochastic Dominance: Discussion," Regional Research Projects >1984: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 25-28, 1984, New Orleans, Louisiana 307224, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
    20. Fulton, Joan R. & King, Robert P. & Fackler, Paul L., 1988. "Combining Farm And County Data To Construct Farm Level Yield Distributions," Staff Papers 13752, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    21. Chang, Hung-Hao & Boisvert, Richard N., 2009. "The Conservation Reserve Program, Off-Farm Work, and Farm Household Technical Efficiencies," Working Papers 57034, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.

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