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The Effect of Tax Rebates on Consumption Expenditures: Evidence From State Tax Rebates

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  • Heim, Bradley T.

Abstract

This paper uses Consumer Expenditure Survey data to estimate the response to a sequence of state tax rebates implemented during 1995–2001. The results generally suggest that expenditures increased by one–fifth to one–fourth of the rebate amount, with positive effects on nondurable spending, spending on apparel, and among households with single respondents. However, the results vary depending on the sample, regressor, and expenditure component, with several variables entering insignificantly or with the wrong sign. Rebate announcements are estimated to have had a small and insignificant effect on the amount of spending, but may have shifted the composition of spending.

Suggested Citation

  • Heim, Bradley T., 2007. "The Effect of Tax Rebates on Consumption Expenditures: Evidence From State Tax Rebates," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 60(4), pages 685-710, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ntj:journl:v:60:y:2007:i:4:p:685-710
    DOI: 10.17310/ntj.2007.4.01
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    Cited by:

    1. Karel Mertens & Morten Overgaard Ravn, 2011. "Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated Tax Policy Shocks," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(1), pages 27-54, January.
    2. Riccardo Lucchetti & Luca Pedini & Claudia Pigini, 2021. "Bayesian Model Averaging For Propensity Score Matching In Tax Rebate," Working Papers 457, Universita' Politecnica delle Marche (I), Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche e Sociali.
    3. Jeppe Druedahl & Emil Bjerre Jensen & Soeren Leth-Petersen, 2022. "The Intertemporal Marginal Propensity to Consume out of Future Persistent Cash-Flows. Evidence from Transaction Data," CEBI working paper series 22-13, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
    4. Karel Mertens & Morten O. Ravn, 2012. "Empirical Evidence on the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated US Tax Policy Shocks," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 145-181, May.
    5. Désirée I. Christofzik & Angela Fuest & Robin Jessen, 2022. "Macroeconomic Effects of the Anticipation and Implementation of Tax Changes in Germany: Evidence from a Narrative Account," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 89(353), pages 62-81, January.
    6. Karel Mertens & Morten Overgaard Ravn, 2011. "Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated Tax Policy Shocks," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(1), pages 27-54, January.
    7. Lucchetti, Riccardo & Pedini, Luca & Pigini, Claudia, 2022. "No such thing as the perfect match: Bayesian Model Averaging for treatment evaluation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    8. Hussain Syed M. & Liu Lin, 2018. "Comparing the effects of discretionary tax changes between the US and the UK," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 1-17, January.
    9. Miura, Ken & Sakurai, Takeshi, 2021. "News from the Sky: An Empirical Test of Forward-Looking Behavior Among Zambian Farmers," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315161, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

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