IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/nature/v517y2015i7535d10.1038_nature14093.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Probabilistic reanalysis of twentieth-century sea-level rise

Author

Listed:
  • Carling C. Hay

    (Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University
    Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University)

  • Eric Morrow

    (Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University
    Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University)

  • Robert E. Kopp

    (Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University
    Rutgers Energy Institute, Rutgers University)

  • Jerry X. Mitrovica

    (Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University)

Abstract

A statistical reassessment of the tide gauge record concludes that sea level rose at a rate of about 1.2 millimetres per year from 1901 to 1990, slightly lower than prior estimates and now consistent with estimates based on individual contributions to sea-level change; the estimates reported here from 1990 onwards are consistent with other work, suggesting that the recent acceleration in sea-level rise is greater than previously thought.

Suggested Citation

  • Carling C. Hay & Eric Morrow & Robert E. Kopp & Jerry X. Mitrovica, 2015. "Probabilistic reanalysis of twentieth-century sea-level rise," Nature, Nature, vol. 517(7535), pages 481-484, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:517:y:2015:i:7535:d:10.1038_nature14093
    DOI: 10.1038/nature14093
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/nature14093
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/nature14093?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ashley C. Freeman & Walker S. Ashley, 2017. "Changes in the US hurricane disaster landscape: the relationship between risk and exposure," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(2), pages 659-682, September.
    2. Sönke Dangendorf & Noah Hendricks & Qiang Sun & John Klinck & Tal Ezer & Thomas Frederikse & Francisco M. Calafat & Thomas Wahl & Torbjörn E. Törnqvist, 2023. "Acceleration of U.S. Southeast and Gulf coast sea-level rise amplified by internal climate variability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    3. Annette Grilli & Malcolm L. Spaulding & Bryan A. Oakley & Chris Damon, 2017. "Mapping the coastal risk for the next century, including sea level rise and changes in the coastline: application to Charlestown RI, USA," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 88(1), pages 389-414, August.
    4. Jieming Chou & Mingyang Sun & Wenjie Dong & Weixing Zhao & Jiangnan Li & Yuanmeng Li & Jianyin Zhou, 2021. "Assessment and Prediction of Climate Risks in Three Major Urban Agglomerations of Eastern China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-21, November.
    5. Le Bars, Dewi, 2018. "Uncertainty in sea level rise projections due to the dependence between contributors," Earth Arxiv uvw3s, Center for Open Science.
    6. Eric Hillebrand & Søren Johansen & Torben Schmith, 2020. "Data Revisions and the Statistical Relation of Global Mean Sea Level and Surface Temperature," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-19, November.
    7. R. Dean Hardy & Bryan L. Nuse, 2016. "Global sea-level rise: weighing country responsibility and risk," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 137(3), pages 333-345, August.
    8. Nerea Portillo Juan & Vicente Negro Valdecantos & Jose María del Campo, 2022. "Review of the Impacts of Climate Change on Ports and Harbours and Their Adaptation in Spain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-16, June.
    9. Kai Yin & Sudong Xu & Quan Zhao & Nini Zhang & Mengqi Li, 2021. "Effects of sea surface warming and sea-level rise on tropical cyclone and inundation modeling at Shanghai coast," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(1), pages 755-784, October.
    10. Yishu, Li, 2019. "A photovoltaic ecosystem: improving atmospheric environment and fighting regional poverty," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 69-79.
    11. Ming Li & Fan Zhang & Samuel Barnes & Xiaohong Wang, 2020. "Assessing storm surge impacts on coastal inundation due to climate change: case studies of Baltimore and Dorchester County in Maryland," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(2), pages 2561-2588, September.
    12. Jennifer S. Walker & Robert E. Kopp & Christopher M. Little & Benjamin P. Horton, 2022. "Timing of emergence of modern rates of sea-level rise by 1863," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-8, December.
    13. Chih-Min Hsieh & Dean Chou & Tai-Wen Hsu, 2022. "Using Modified Harmonic Analysis to Estimate the Trend of Sea-Level Rise around Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-17, June.
    14. Reza Marsooli & Ning Lin, 2020. "Impacts of climate change on hurricane flood hazards in Jamaica Bay, New York," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(4), pages 2153-2171, December.
    15. Hyeyun Ku & Jun Ho Maeng, 2021. "Extreme value analysis of the typhoon-induced surges on the coastal seas of South Korea," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 107(1), pages 617-637, May.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:517:y:2015:i:7535:d:10.1038_nature14093. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.