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A global framework for future costs and benefits of river-flood protection in urban areas

Author

Listed:
  • Philip J. Ward

    (Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

  • Brenden Jongman

    (Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
    Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery, The World Bank Group)

  • Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts

    (Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

  • Paul D. Bates

    (University of Bristol
    SSBN Flood Risk Solutions)

  • Wouter J. W. Botzen

    (Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
    Utrecht University School of Economics (U.S.E.), Utrecht University)

  • Andres Diaz Loaiza

    (Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

  • Stephane Hallegatte

    (The World Bank)

  • Jarl M. Kind

    (Deltares)

  • Jaap Kwadijk

    (Twente University)

  • Paolo Scussolini

    (Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam)

  • Hessel C. Winsemius

    (Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
    Deltares)

Abstract

Managing future flood risk is necessary to minimize costs and achieve maximum benefit from investment. This study presents a framework to assess urban structural protection under climate change and socio-economic development.

Suggested Citation

  • Philip J. Ward & Brenden Jongman & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts & Paul D. Bates & Wouter J. W. Botzen & Andres Diaz Loaiza & Stephane Hallegatte & Jarl M. Kind & Jaap Kwadijk & Paolo Scussolini & Hessel C. W, 2017. "A global framework for future costs and benefits of river-flood protection in urban areas," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(9), pages 642-646, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:7:y:2017:i:9:d:10.1038_nclimate3350
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3350
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Pascal Peduzzi, 2019. "The Disaster Risk, Global Change, and Sustainability Nexus," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-21, February.
    2. Max Tesselaar & W. J. Wouter Botzen & Toon Haer & Paul Hudson & Timothy Tiggeloven & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, 2020. "Regional Inequalities in Flood Insurance Affordability and Uptake under Climate Change," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-30, October.
    3. Cesar Casiano Flores & Joep Crompvoets & Maria Eugenia Ibarraran Viniegra & Megan Farrelly, 2019. "Governance Assessment of the Flood’s Infrastructure Policy in San Pedro Cholula, Mexico: Potential for a Leapfrog to Water Sensitive," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-28, December.
    4. Antoine Mandel & Timothy Tiggeloven & Daniel Lincke & Elco Koks & Philip Ward & Jochen Hinkel, 2021. "Risks on global financial stability induced by climate change: the case of flood risks," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 166(1), pages 1-24, May.
    5. Si Ha & Hirokazu Tatano & Nobuhito Mori & Toshio Fujimi & Xinyu Jiang, 2021. "Cost–benefit analysis of adaptation to storm surge due to climate change in Osaka Bay, Japan," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 169(3), pages 1-20, December.
    6. Yongqiang Fang & Shiqiang Du & Paolo Scussolini & Jiahong Wen & Chunyang He & Qingxu Huang & Jun Gao, 2018. "Rapid Population Growth in Chinese Floodplains from 1990 to 2015," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-11, July.
    7. Unterberger, Christian & Hudson, Paul & Botzen, W.J. Wouter & Schroeer, Katharina & Steininger, Karl W., 2019. "Future Public Sector Flood Risk and Risk Sharing Arrangements: An Assessment for Austria," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 153-163.
    8. Paul Hudson, 2018. "A comparison of definitions of affordability for flood risk adaption measures: a case study of current and future risk-based flood insurance premiums in Europe," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 23(7), pages 1019-1038, October.
    9. Anna Porębska & Izabela Godyń & Krzysztof Radzicki & Elżbieta Nachlik & Paola Rizzi, 2019. "Built Heritage, Sustainable Development, and Natural Hazards: Flood Protection and UNESCO World Heritage Site Protection Strategies in Krakow, Poland," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-26, September.
    10. Quntao Yang & Shuliang Zhang & Qiang Dai & Rui Yao, 2020. "Improved Framework for Assessing Vulnerability to Different Types of Urban Floods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-18, September.
    11. Leonie Wenz & Anders Levermann & Sven Norman Willner & Christian Otto & Kilian Kuhla, 2020. "Post-Brexit no-trade-deal scenario: Short-term consumer benefit at the expense of long-term economic development," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(9), pages 1-14, September.
    12. Quntao Yang & Shuliang Zhang & Qiang Dai & Rui Yao, 2020. "Assessment of Community Vulnerability to Different Types of Urban Floods: A Case for Lishui City, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-19, September.
    13. Junqiang Xia & Yifei Cheng & Meirong Zhou & Shanshan Deng & Xiaolei Zhang, 2023. "Experimental and numerical model studies of dike-break induced flood processes over a typical floodplain domain," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(2), pages 1843-1861, March.
    14. Guillaume Rohat & Olga Wilhelmi & Johannes Flacke & Andrew Monaghan & Jing Gao & Martin Maarseveen & Hy Dao, 2021. "Assessing urban heat-related adaptation strategies under multiple futures for a major U.S. city," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-20, February.
    15. Julie Rozenberg & Marianne Fay, 2019. "Beyond the Gap," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 31291, December.
    16. Ivan Petkov, 2023. "Public Investment in Hazard Mitigation: Effectiveness and the Role of Community Diversity," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 33-92, March.
    17. Tesselaar, Max & Botzen, W.J. Wouter & Robinson, Peter J. & Aerts, Jeroen C.J.H. & Zhou, Fujin, 2022. "Charity hazard and the flood insurance protection gap: An EU scale assessment under climate change," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    18. Krichene, H. & Geiger, T. & Frieler, K. & Willner, S.N. & Sauer, I. & Otto, C., 2021. "Long-term impacts of tropical cyclones and fluvial floods on economic growth – Empirical evidence on transmission channels at different levels of development," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    19. Julien Boulange & Yukiko Hirabayashi & Masahiro Tanoue & Toshinori Yamada, 2023. "Quantitative evaluation of flood damage methodologies under a portfolio of adaptation scenarios," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(3), pages 1855-1879, September.
    20. Zohreh Hashemi Aslani & Vahid Nasiri & Carmen Maftei & Ashok Vaseashta, 2023. "Synergetic Integration of SWAT and Multi-Objective Optimization Algorithms for Evaluating Efficiencies of Agricultural Best Management Practices to Improve Water Quality," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-20, February.
    21. Syed Abu Shoaib & Mohammad Zaved Kaiser Khan & Nahid Sultana & Taufique H. Mahmood, 2021. "Quantifying Uncertainty in Food Security Modeling," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, January.

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