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Attributing mortality from extreme temperatures to climate change in Stockholm, Sweden

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel Oudin Åström

    (Umeå University, 901 87 Umeå)

  • Bertil Forsberg

    (Umeå University, 901 87 Umeå)

  • Kristie L. Ebi

    (Umeå University, 901 87 Umeå)

  • Joacim Rocklöv

    (Umeå University, 901 87 Umeå)

Abstract

A changing climate is increasing the frequency, intensity, duration and spatial extent of heat waves. These changes are associated with increased human mortality during heat extremes. At the other end of the temperature scale, it has been widely speculated that cold-related mortality could decrease in a warmer world. We aim to answer a key question; the extent to which mortality due to temperature extremes in Stockholm, Sweden during 1980–2009 can be attributed to climate change that has occurred since our reference period (1900–1929). Mortality from heat extremes in 1980–2009 was double what would have occurred without climate change. Although temperature shifted towards warmer temperatures in the winter season, cold extremes occurred more frequently, contributing to a small increase of mortality during the winter months. No evidence was found for adaptation over 1980–2009.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Oudin Åström & Bertil Forsberg & Kristie L. Ebi & Joacim Rocklöv, 2013. "Attributing mortality from extreme temperatures to climate change in Stockholm, Sweden," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(12), pages 1050-1054, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:3:y:2013:i:12:d:10.1038_nclimate2022
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2022
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    Cited by:

    1. Tamás Hajdu & Gábor Hajdu, 2021. "Post-conception heat exposure increases clinically unobserved pregnancy losses," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 2104, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    2. Zhiyong Tian & Shicong Zhang & Jie Deng & Bozena Dorota Hrynyszyn, 2020. "Evaluation on Overheating Risk of a Typical Norwegian Residential Building under Future Extreme Weather Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-12, February.
    3. Richard S. J. Tol, 2016. "The Impacts Of Climate Change According To The Ipcc," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(01), pages 1-20, February.
    4. Maria Zoumaki & Konstantinos Tsongas & Dimitrios Tzetzis & Gabriel Mansour, 2022. "Corn Starch-Based Sandstone Sustainable Materials: Sand Type and Water Content Effect on Their Structure and Mechanical Properties," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-16, July.
    5. Jae Young Lee & Ejin Kim & Woo-Seop Lee & Yeora Chae & Ho Kim, 2018. "Projection of Future Mortality Due to Temperature and Population Changes under Representative Concentration Pathways and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-9, April.
    6. Raimi, Daniel, 2021. "Effects of Climate Change on Heat- and Cold-Related Mortality: A Literature Review to Inform Updated Estimates of the Social Cost of Carbon," RFF Working Paper Series 21-12, Resources for the Future.
    7. Yeora Chae & Jongchul Park, 2021. "Analysis on Effectiveness of Impact Based Heatwave Warning Considering Severity and Likelihood of Health Impacts in Seoul, Korea," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(5), pages 1-13, March.
    8. Reija Ruuhela & Kirsti Jylhä & Timo Lanki & Pekka Tiittanen & Andreas Matzarakis, 2017. "Biometeorological Assessment of Mortality Related to Extreme Temperatures in Helsinki Region, Finland, 1972–2014," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-19, August.
    9. Jaime Madrigano & Regina A. Shih & Maxwell Izenberg & Jordan R. Fischbach & Benjamin L. Preston, 2021. "Science Policy to Advance a Climate Change and Health Research Agenda in the United States," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(15), pages 1-15, July.
    10. Xing Zhang & Tianjun Zhou & Wenxia Zhang & Liwen Ren & Jie Jiang & Shuai Hu & Meng Zuo & Lixia Zhang & Wenmin Man, 2023. "Increased impact of heat domes on 2021-like heat extremes in North America under global warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.

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