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Keynes at the periphery: Currency hierarchy and challenges for economic policy in emerging economies

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  • Luiz Fernando de Paula
  • Barbara Fritz
  • Daniela M. Prates

Abstract

While the post Keynesian literature offers a rather clear concept for growth-oriented policies, it is necessary to adapt them for peripheral emerging economies. We base our analysis of an appropriate Keynesian policy mix for these countries on the concept of currency hierarchy, where the currencies of peripheral emerging economies have a lower liquidity premium than the currencies of advanced economies. The international asymmetry related to the currency hierarchy, amplified by financial globalization, imposes major constraints to the adoption of Keynesian policies for these economies. Under these conditions, we argue that domestic economic policy coordination should lay a major focus on a low policy rate and, especially, a competitive exchange rate for obtaining, at least, a balanced current account, in order to prevent capital flows boom-bust-cycles with subsequent financial crises. We conclude that it is a rather ambitious and long-term goal to climb up the currency hierarchy, especially under the current condition of financial globalization.

Suggested Citation

  • Luiz Fernando de Paula & Barbara Fritz & Daniela M. Prates, 2017. "Keynes at the periphery: Currency hierarchy and challenges for economic policy in emerging economies," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(2), pages 183-202, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:40:y:2017:i:2:p:183-202
    DOI: 10.1080/01603477.2016.1252267
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fernando J. Cardim de Carvalho, 1992. "Mr Keynes And The Post Keynesians," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 79.
    2. Claude Gnos & Louis-Philippe Rochon, 2006. "Post-Keynesian Principles of Economic Policy," Post-Print halshs-00114699, HAL.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Gabriel Porcile & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2023. "Rentiers, Strategic Public Goods and Financialization in the Periphery," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2023_03, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    3. Botta, Alberto & Porcile, Gabriel & Spinola, Danilo & Yajima, Giuliano Toshiro, 2023. "Financial integration, productive development and fiscal policy space in developing countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 175-188.
    4. Alves, Carolina & Kvangraven, Ingrid Harvold, 2020. "Changing the Narrative: Economics After Covid-19," Review of Agrarian Studies, Foundation for Agrarian Studies, vol. 10(1), July.
    5. Lupín, Beatriz, 2023. "Libro de ponencias de la I Jornada de Investigadores en Formación de la Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales de la Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata. Intercambio y difusión de ideas," Nülan. Deposited Documents 3938, Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Sociales, Centro de Documentación.
    6. Jörg Mayer, 2021. "The “exorbitant privilege” and “exorbitant duty” of the United States in the international monetary system: implications for developing countries," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 157(4), pages 927-964, November.
    7. Fernández Tucci, Candelaria, 2023. "Original sin and South-South cooperation: Insights for the Mercosur from the experience of the Asian Bond Market Initiative," IPE Working Papers 214/2023, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    8. Karsten Kohler & Engelbert Stockhammer, 2023. "Flexible exchange rates in emerging markets: shock absorbers or drivers of endogenous cycles?," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 32(2), pages 551-572.
    9. Zucker Marques, Marina & Mühlich, Laurissa & Fritz, Barbara, 2023. "Unequal access to The Global Financial Safety Net: An index for the quality of crisis finance," Discussion Papers 2023/4, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    10. Botta, Alberto & Spinola, Danilo & Yajima, Giuliano & Porcile, Gabriel, 2023. "Pasinetti, Debt Sustainability and (Green) Structural Change at the Time of Global Finance: An Emerging and Developing Countries’ Perspective," CAFE Working Papers 25, Centre for Accountancy, Finance and Economics (CAFE), Birmingham City Business School, Birmingham City University.
    11. Olk, Christopher & Schneider, Colleen & Hickel, Jason, 2023. "How to pay for saving the world: Modern Monetary Theory for a degrowth transition," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120343, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Gegenfurtner, Dennis Andreas, 2021. "The causes of Original Sin: An empirical investigation of emerging market and developing countries," IPE Working Papers 174/2021, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    13. Guizzo, Danielle & Strachman, Eduardo & Dalto, Fabiano & Feijo, Carmem, 2018. "Financialisation and Development: how can emerging economies catch up?," MPRA Paper 87076, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Kuehnlenz, Sophia & Orsi, Bianca & Kaltenbrunner, Annina, 2023. "Central bank digital currencies and the international payment system: The demise of the US dollar?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    15. Pablo Gabriel Bortz & Nicole Toftum & Nicolás Hernán Zeolla, 2021. "Old Cycles and New Vulnerabilities: Financial Deregulation and the Argentine Crisis," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 52(3), pages 598-626, May.
    16. Herr, Hansjörg, 2018. "Underdevelopment and unregulated markets: Seven reasons why unregulated markets reproduce underdevelopment," IPE Working Papers 103/2018, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    17. Lampe, Florian, 2022. "Interest Rate Policy of the Banque Centrale des Etats de l'Afrique de l'Ouest: International Currency Hierarchy, Monetary Base Coverage, and Bank Lending in the WAEMU," ZÖSS-Discussion Papers 76, University of Hamburg, Centre for Economic and Sociological Studies (CESS/ZÖSS), revised 2022.
    18. Olk, Christopher, 2023. "Liquidity premia: the PPP puzzle's missing piece?," SocArXiv exnf6, Center for Open Science.
    19. Carmem Feijo & Marcos Tostes Lamonica & Sergiany da Silva Lima, 2022. "Growth and stagnation in a dual economy: The case of Brazil," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 75(301), pages 119-138.
    20. Roberto Lampa, 2022. "Verso la disgregazione del sistema monetario post 1971? I paesi in via di sviluppo e l'impatto delle sanzioni belliche sulla dollar hegemony (Towards the disintegration of post 1971 monetary system? D," Moneta e Credito, Economia civile, vol. 75(298), pages 149-161.

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