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Causality Between FDI and Economic Growth in China

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  • Changwen Zhao
  • Jiang Du

Abstract

Studies on how foreign direct investment (FDI) interacts with host economic growth are obviously important. Using the vector autoregression (VAR) approach developed by Toda and Phillips, we examine the causality between FDI and growth in China by conducting time-series estimations through ADF [Augmented Dickey Fuller] unit-root tests, cointegration tests, and error-correction analyses. The result reveals that the two-way causality between FDI and growth in China is not highly significant. China's economic growth indeed attracts FDI influx, which supports the market-size hypothesis; while the FDI influx stimulates the economic growth of China to some degree, the result is not significant.

Suggested Citation

  • Changwen Zhao & Jiang Du, 2007. "Causality Between FDI and Economic Growth in China," Chinese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(6), pages 68-82, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:chinec:v:40:y:2007:i:6:p:68-82
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    Cited by:

    1. Hong, Sanghyun & Robert Reed, W. & Tian, Bifei & Wu, Tingting & Chen, Gen, 2021. "Does FDI promote entrepreneurial activities? A meta-analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    2. Amir Fejzić, 2017. "Sectorial Composition Of Foreign Direct Investment And Growth: The Case Of The See-5," Ekonomske ideje i praksa, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, issue 24, pages 87-116, March.
    3. Sunde, Tafirenyika, 2016. "Foreign direct investment and economic growth: ADRL and causality analysis for South Africa," MPRA Paper 72382, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2016.
    4. Gunby, Philip & Jin, Yinghua & Robert Reed, W., 2017. "Did FDI Really Cause Chinese Economic Growth? A Meta-Analysis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 242-255.
    5. Enrico Marelli & Marcello Signorelli, 2011. "China and India: Openness, Trade and Effects on Economic Growth," European Journal of Comparative Economics, Cattaneo University (LIUC), vol. 8(1), pages 129-154, June.
    6. Yalta, A. Yasemin, 2013. "Revisiting the FDI-led growth Hypothesis: The case of China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 335-343.
    7. Sunde, Tafirenyika, 2022. "The impact of foreign direct investment on Namibia’s economic growth: A time series investigation," MPRA Paper 117366, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 03 May 2023.
    8. Pooja Sengupta & Roma Puri, 2020. "Exploration of Relationship between FDI and GDP: A Comparison between India and Its Neighbouring Countries," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 21(2), pages 473-489, April.
    9. Tehreem Pervez & Mehreen Ijaz, 2021. "Does Domestic Interest Rate Determining Foreign Direct Investment in Pakistan?," Journal of Policy Research (JPR), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 7(3), pages 1-76–86, September.
    10. N.M. Odhiambo, 2021. "Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Kenya: An Empirical Investigation," Working Papers AESRI-2021-04, African Economic and Social Research Institute (AESRI), revised Jan 2021.
    11. Rubab Khan & Hijaab Zahra, 2016. "Impact of Domestic Interest Rate on Foreign Direct Investment (A case study of Pakistan)," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 5(4), pages 220-230, December.
    12. Tafirenyika Sunde & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2017. "Determinants of house prices and new construction activity: An empirical investigation of the Namibian housing market," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 51(3), pages 389-407, July-Sept.
    13. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Kenya: An Empirical Investigation," International Journal of Public Administration, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(8), pages 620-631, June.
    14. Toma Lankauskienė & Manuela Tvaronavičienė, 2011. "Interrelation of countries' developmental level and foreign direct investments performance," Journal of Business Economics and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 546-565, March.
    15. Rashid Latief & Lin Lefen, 2019. "Foreign Direct Investment in the Power and Energy Sector, Energy Consumption, and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-21, January.
    16. A. Yasemin Yalta, 2011. "New Evidence on FDI-Led Growth: The Case of China," Working Papers 1107, TOBB University of Economics and Technology, Department of Economics.
    17. Temiz, Dilek & Gökmen, Aytaç, 2014. "FDI inflow as an international business operation by MNCs and economic growth: An empirical study on Turkey," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 145-154.
    18. Sunde, Tafirenyika, 2017. "Foreign direct investment, exports and economic growth: ADRL and causality analysis for South Africa," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 434-444.
    19. Thet Mon Soe, 2020. "Economic Effects of Inward Foreign Direct Investment in Myanmar," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 175-190.
    20. Muhammad Irfan Chani & Muhammad Azam & Akmal Younas, 2014. "The Causal Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment, Imports and Exports in Pakistan," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 3(3), pages 142-149, September.
    21. Syed Ali Raza & Mohd Zaini Abd Karim, 2018. "Influence of Systemic Banking Crises and Currency Crises on the FDI-Growth Nexus: Evidence from China," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(3), pages 572-589, June.
    22. Nizam, Ahmed Mehedi, 2023. "FDI, exchange rate and firm's gain in terms of real assets," MPRA Paper 119597, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    23. Xing, Yuqing & Pradhananga, Manisha, 2013. "How Important are Exports and Foreign Direct Investment for Economic Growth in the People’s Republic of China?," ADBI Working Papers 427, Asian Development Bank Institute.

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