IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/lpe/efijnl/202007.html

A Decomposition Analysis of Fertility: Evidence from DKI Jakarta and East Nusa Tenggara

Author

Listed:
  • Farma Mangunsong

    (Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta ; Institute for Population and Social Research, Mahidol University, Thailand)

Abstract

Fertility control has been one of the priorities of development in Indonesia. However, the 2000 and 2010 population censuses showed an increase in fertility indicators. To identify the sources of increased fertility in developed and less developed areas, DKI Jakarta and East Nusa Tenggara Provinces were selected for comparison. Using 2000 and 2010 census data, the decomposition analysis shows that the increase in Total Fertility Rate (TFR) of DKI Jakarta was dominated by the increase in nuptiality rate, while the increase in TFR of East Nusa Tenggara was mainly caused by the increase in Marital Fertility Rate (MFR). The highest increase in the proportion of married women in DKI Jakarta occurs in the age group of 15-19 years old, followed by the age group of 20–24 years old. The increase in MFR in East Nusa Tenggara occurs in nearly all age groups, particularly in the age groups of 30–34 and 35–39 years old. Identifying the sources of the increase in TFR is important for population policy to support population growth control, fertility reduction, and human resource quality improvement. The main suggestions based on the findings are the promotion of higher educational level and the benefits of postponing marriage among the younger age groups in DKI Jakarta as well as the use of contraceptive methods to control birth rate in East Nusa Tenggara.

Suggested Citation

  • Farma Mangunsong, 2020. "A Decomposition Analysis of Fertility: Evidence from DKI Jakarta and East Nusa Tenggara," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 66, pages 79-96, Desember.
    • Handle: RePEc:lpe:efijnl:202007
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://lpem.org/repec/lpe/efijnl/202007.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Arland Thornton, 2001. "The developmental paradigm, reading history sideways, and family change," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 38(4), pages 449-465, November.
    2. Thomas Spoorenberg, 2019. "Sixty years of change in Tibetan fertility: An assessment," Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 73(2), pages 277-285, May.
    3. Donghui Wang & Guangqing Chi, 2017. "Different places, different stories: A study of the spatial heterogeneity of county-level fertility in China," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 37(16), pages 493-526.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Arland Thornton & Prem Bhandari & Jeffrey Swindle & Nathalie Williams & Linda Young-DeMarco & Cathy Sun & Christina Hughes, 2020. "Fatalistic Beliefs and Migration Behaviors: A Study of Ideational Demography in Nepal," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 39(4), pages 643-670, August.
    2. Keera Allendorf & Arland Thornton & Dirgha J. Ghimire & Linda Young-DeMarco & Colter Mitchell, 2021. "A Good Age to Marry? An Intergenerational Model of the Influence of Timing Attitudes on Entrance into Marriage," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 37(1), pages 179-209, March.
    3. Brown, John C. & Guinnane, Timothy W., 2003. "Two Statistical Problems in the Princeton Project on the European Fertility Transition," Center Discussion Papers 28392, Yale University, Economic Growth Center.
    4. Rares Halbac-Cotoara-Zamfir & Gianluca Egidi & Rosanna Salvia & Luca Salvati & Adele Sateriano & Antonio Gimenez-Morera, 2021. "Recession, Local Fertility, and Urban Sustainability: Results of a Quasi-Experiment in Greece, 1991–2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-18, January.
    5. Joseph Potter & Carl Schmertmann & Suzana Cavenaghi, 2002. "Fertility and development: evidence from Brazil," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 39(4), pages 739-761, November.
    6. Arland Thornton & Rachael Pierotti & Linda Young-DeMarco & Susan Watkins, 2014. "Developmental Idealism and Cultural Models of the Family in Malawi," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 33(5), pages 693-716, October.
    7. Helen Baykara-Krumme, 2016. "Consanguineous Marriage in Turkish Families in Turkey and in Western Europe," International Migration Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(3), pages 568-598, September.
    8. Aart C. Liefbroer & Dimiter Philipov & Francesco C. Billari, 2006. "The Postponement of Childbearing in Europe: Driving Forces and Implications," Vienna Yearbook of Population Research, Vienna Institute of Demography (VID) of the Austrian Academy of Sciences in Vienna, vol. 4(1), pages 1-17.
    9. Lindsay Theunis & Christine Schnor & Didier Willaert & Jan Van Bavel, 2018. "His and Her Education and Marital Dissolution: Adding a Contextual Dimension," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 34(4), pages 663-687, October.
    10. Matthijs Kalmijn, 2013. "The Educational Gradient in Marriage: A Comparison of 25 European Countries," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 50(4), pages 1499-1520, August.
    11. Donghui Wang & Yongai Jin & Tao Liu, 2025. "Universal yet local: Estimating county-level fertility ideals and intentions in China," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 53(18), pages 525-568.
    12. Wanru Xiong, 2022. "Dynamics between Regional Sex Ratios at Birth and Sex Ratios at Prime Marriageable Ages in China," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 48(2), pages 545-578, June.
    13. Serap Kavas & Arland Thornton, 2020. "Developmental Idealism and Beliefs About Marriage and Fertility in Turkey," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 39(1), pages 47-75, February.
    14. Francesco Billari, 2004. "Becoming an Adult in Europe: A Macro(/Micro)-Demographic Perspective," Demographic Research Special Collections, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 3(2), pages 15-44.
    15. Jolene Tan, 2022. "Heterogeneity among the never married in a low-fertility context," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 47(24), pages 727-776.
    16. Gianluca Egidi & Luca Salvati, 2021. "Changes over time in the spatial structure of fertility rates as a dynamic indicator of urban transformations," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 151-172, February.
    17. Josephine Akua Ackah Baafi & Rebecca Sear & Sarah Walters & Estelle McLean & Kofi Awusabo-Asare & Anushé Hassan & Fabian Sebastian Achana, 2025. "Household structure in Ghana: Exploring dynamics over three decades," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 52(30), pages 971-1022.
    18. LeRoux-Rutledge, Emily, 2020. "Re-evaluating the “traditional”: How the South Sudanese use established gender narratives to advance women’s equality and empowerment," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    19. David S. Reher, 2021. "The Aftermath of the Demographic Transition in the Developed World: Interpreting Enduring Disparities in Reproductive Behavior," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 47(2), pages 475-503, June.
    20. Arland Thornton, 2010. "International family change and continuity: the past and future from of the developmental idealism perspective," Demográfia, Hungarian Demographic Research Institute, vol. 53(5), pages 21-50.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:lpe:efijnl:202007. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Muhammad Halley Yudhistira The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask Muhammad Halley Yudhistira to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feuinid.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.