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‘Other information’ as an explanatory factor for the opposite market reactions to earnings surprises

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  • Vincent Chen
  • Samuel Tiras

Abstract

Positive (negative) earnings surprises do not necessarily generate positive (negative) market reactions. In our sample from 1990 to 2010, the market reacts negatively to 42 % of firms that meet or beat analyst forecasts and positively to 41 % of firms that miss analyst forecasts. We empirically tests whether ‘other information’, in part, accounts for the opposite sign between market reactions and earnings surprises. Our results indicate that ‘other information’ is a significant explanatory factor for the opposite market reactions to earnings surprises, and that its explanatory power is greater when investors become skeptical of the reliability of earnings information. We also find that other information facilitates investors’ assessments for earnings information because the market under-reaction to earnings information decreases in the availability of other information disseminated to investors. Investors, however, do not fully comprehend other information and tend to overestimate the persistence of other information for future earnings. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media New York 2015

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  • Vincent Chen & Samuel Tiras, 2015. "‘Other information’ as an explanatory factor for the opposite market reactions to earnings surprises," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 45(4), pages 757-784, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:45:y:2015:i:4:p:757-784
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-014-0454-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Vincent Y.S. & Keung, Edmund C. & Lin, I-Min, 2019. "Disclosure of fair value measurement in goodwill impairment test and audit fees," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(3).
    2. Khine Kyaw & Mojisola Olugbode & Barbara Petracci, 2022. "Stakeholder engagement: Investors' environmental risk aversion and corporate earnings," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 1220-1231, March.
    3. Christian Blecher, 2019. "The influence of uncertainty on the standard-setting decision between fair value and historical cost accounting under asymmetric information," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 47-72, July.
    4. Avishek Bhandari & Babak Mammadov & Maya Thevenot, 2018. "The impact of executive inside debt on sell-side financial analyst forecast characteristics," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 283-315, August.
    5. Khine Kyaw & Mojisola Olugbode & Barbara Petracci, 2020. "Is the market surprised by the surprise?," International Journal of Disclosure and Governance, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 17(1), pages 20-29, March.
    6. Helena Isidro & José G. Dias, 2017. "Earnings quality and the heterogeneous relation between earnings and stock returns," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 1143-1165, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Other information; Analyst forecast; Opposite market reaction; M41;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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