IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/compec/v63y2024i1d10.1007_s10614-022-10344-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Uncertainty Optimization Based Feature Selection Model for Stock Marketing

Author

Listed:
  • Arvind Kumar Sinha

    (National Institute of Technology)

  • Pradeep Shende

    (National Institute of Technology)

Abstract

Market analyzers use different parameters as features in the market data to analyze the market trends. The feature’s values act as a signal to market fluctuations. Many studies have examined these features to predict market movement more effectively. However, the method to minimize the uncertainties associated with the features is not available in the literature. This exploratory study introduces the uncertainty optimization based feature selection method for stock marketing. We introduce a notion of certainty region of the feature as the set of feature values, which signify particular happening with certainty. We use rough set theory to find the feature’s certainty region and uncertainty region and measure each feature’s significance. The feature whose certainty region is the maximum is the most significant in the feature space. Hence we group the features by minimizing the uncertainty region of the most informative features to get feature subsets for feature selection. We propose an algorithm based on uncertainty optimization to find subsets of the feature set for effectiveness and performance enhancement in the feature selection. We obtain the decision rules with comprehensive coverage and excellent support using the selected features. The accuracy of classification using the chosen parameters is up to 85.91%, which is higher than 79.54% of the complete feature set. The study provides an uncertainty optimization model for more efficient market movement prediction.

Suggested Citation

  • Arvind Kumar Sinha & Pradeep Shende, 2024. "Uncertainty Optimization Based Feature Selection Model for Stock Marketing," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(1), pages 357-389, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:63:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s10614-022-10344-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10614-022-10344-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10614-022-10344-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10614-022-10344-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mojtaba Nabipour & Pooyan Nayyeri & Hamed Jabani & Amir Mosavi, 2020. "Deep learning for Stock Market Prediction," Papers 2004.01497, arXiv.org.
    2. V. Vismayaa & K. R. Pooja & A. Alekhya & C. N. Malavika & Binoy B. Nair & P. N. Kumar, 2020. "Classifier Based Stock Trading Recommender Systems for Indian stocks: An Empirical Evaluation," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 55(3), pages 901-923, March.
    3. Juvenal José Duarte & Sahudy Montenegro González & José César Cruz, 2021. "Predicting Stock Price Falls Using News Data: Evidence from the Brazilian Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 311-340, January.
    4. Niladri Das & J K Pattanayak, 2013. "The Effect of Fundamental Factors on Indian Stock Market: A Case Study of Sensex and Nifty," The IUP Journal of Applied Finance, IUP Publications, vol. 19(2), pages 84-99, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Priyank Sonkiya & Vikas Bajpai & Anukriti Bansal, 2021. "Stock price prediction using BERT and GAN," Papers 2107.09055, arXiv.org.
    2. Suya Jin & Guiyan Liu & Qifeng Bai, 2023. "Deep Learning in COVID-19 Diagnosis, Prognosis and Treatment Selection," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-16, March.
    3. Mohammed El Amine Senoussaoui & Mostefa Brahami & Issouf Fofana, 2021. "Transformer Oil Quality Assessment Using Random Forest with Feature Engineering," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-15, March.
    4. Ahmed R. M. Alsayed, 2023. "Turkish Stock Market from Pandemic to Russian Invasion, Evidence from Developed Machine Learning Algorithm," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(3), pages 1107-1123, October.
    5. Ioan Mihail Savaniu & Alexandru-Polifron Chiriță & Oana Tonciu & Magdalena Culcea & Ancuta Neagu, 2023. "Neural-Network-Based Time Control for Microwave Oven Heating of Food Products Distributed by a Solar-Powered Vending Machine with Energy Management Considerations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-22, October.
    6. Damian Ślusarczyk & Robert Ślepaczuk, 2023. "Optimal Markowitz Portfolio Using Returns Forecasted with Time Series and Machine Learning Models," Working Papers 2023-17, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    7. Pawan Kumar Singh & Anushka Chouhan & Rajiv Kumar Bhatt & Ravi Kiran & Ansari Saleh Ahmar, 2022. "Implementation of the SutteARIMA method to predict short-term cases of stock market and COVID-19 pandemic in USA," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 2023-2033, August.
    8. Mufhumudzi Muthivhi & Terence L. van Zyl, 2022. "Fusion of Sentiment and Asset Price Predictions for Portfolio Optimization," Papers 2203.05673, arXiv.org.
    9. Juan C. King & Roberto Dale & Jos'e M. Amig'o, 2024. "Blockchain Metrics and Indicators in Cryptocurrency Trading," Papers 2403.00770, arXiv.org.
    10. Pedro M. Mirete-Ferrer & Alberto Garcia-Garcia & Juan Samuel Baixauli-Soler & Maria A. Prats, 2022. "A Review on Machine Learning for Asset Management," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-46, April.
    11. Yiyang Zheng, 2022. "Neural Network and Order Flow, Technical Analysis: Predicting short-term direction of futures contract," Papers 2203.12457, arXiv.org.
    12. Tidor-Vlad Pricope, 2021. "Deep Reinforcement Learning in Quantitative Algorithmic Trading: A Review," Papers 2106.00123, arXiv.org.
    13. Li-Chen Cheng & Yu-Hsiang Huang & Ming-Hua Hsieh & Mu-En Wu, 2021. "A Novel Trading Strategy Framework Based on Reinforcement Deep Learning for Financial Market Predictions," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(23), pages 1-16, November.
    14. Joao Vitor Matos Goncalves & Michel Alexandre & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2023. "ARIMA and LSTM: A Comparative Analysis of Financial Time Series Forecasting," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2023_13, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:compec:v:63:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s10614-022-10344-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.