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Estimating Occupied Office Space: Comparing Alternative Forecast Methodologies

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Abstract

This study compares alternative methodologies that can be used to forecast growth in a market's occupied office space. Trend line analysis methods are compared to econometric methods. Using 1978 through 1987 data from the Boston market, these models have been used to predict the known performance of the market in 1988 and 1989 permitting comparison of these models in terms of their overall performance and their ability to predict the recent downturn in that market. The results suggest that real estate practitioners and planners should employ economic techniques in their efforts to forecast the incremental changes in occupied office space.

Suggested Citation

  • Kirk McClure, 1991. "Estimating Occupied Office Space: Comparing Alternative Forecast Methodologies," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 6(3), pages 305-314.
    • Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:6:n:3:1991:p:305-314
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    Cited by:

    1. Allison M. Orr & Colin Jones, 2003. "The Analysis and Prediction of Urban Office Rents," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 40(11), pages 2255-2284, October.
    2. S Tsolacos & G Keogh & T McGough, 1998. "Modelling Use, Investment, and Development in the British Office Market," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 30(8), pages 1409-1427, August.
    3. Jacco Hakfoort & Robert Lie, 1996. "Office Space per Worker: Evidence from Four European Markets," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 11(2), pages 183-196.
    4. Dirk Brounen & Maarten Jennen, 2009. "Asymmetric Properties of Office Rent Adjustment," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 39(3), pages 336-358, October.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

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