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A Multiattribute Utility Analysis of Alternatives for the Disposition of Surplus Weapons-Grade Plutonium

Author

Listed:
  • James S. Dyer

    (The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas)

  • Thomas Edmunds

    (Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, California)

  • John C. Butler

    (The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio)

  • Jianmin Jia

    (Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, N.T. Hong Kong)

Abstract

This paper describes an application of multiattribute utility theory to support the selection of a technology for the disposition of surplus weapons-grade plutonium by the Department of Energy (DOE). This analysis evaluated 13 alternatives, examined the sensitivity of the recommendations to the weights and assumptions, and quantified the potential benefit of the simultaneous deployment of several technologies. The measures of performance that were identified through the creation of a hierarchy of objectives helped to organize the information collected during the evaluation process, and the results of the analysis were presented to DOE on several occasions. This analysis supported the final DOE recommendation to pursue a strategy of the parallel development of two of the most preferred technologies.

Suggested Citation

  • James S. Dyer & Thomas Edmunds & John C. Butler & Jianmin Jia, 1998. "A Multiattribute Utility Analysis of Alternatives for the Disposition of Surplus Weapons-Grade Plutonium," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(6), pages 749-762, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:46:y:1998:i:6:p:749-762
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.46.6.749
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. John C. Butler & James S. Dyer & Jianmin Jia, 2006. "Using Attributes to Predict Objectives in Preference Models," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 3(2), pages 100-116, June.
    2. McCarthy, Ryan & Ogden, Joan M. & Sperling, Dan, 2008. "Assessing Reliability in Energy Supply Systems," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt1dx4j35q, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    3. John Butler & Douglas J. Morrice & Peter W. Mullarkey, 2001. "A Multiple Attribute Utility Theory Approach to Ranking and Selection," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(6), pages 800-816, June.
    4. Han Bleichrodt & Ulrich Schmidt & Horst Zank, 2009. "Additive Utility in Prospect Theory," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 863-873, May.
    5. P. Daniel Wright & Matthew J. Liberatore & Robert L. Nydick, 2006. "A Survey of Operations Research Models and Applications in Homeland Security," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 36(6), pages 514-529, December.
    6. Price, Robert R. & Singh, Bhupinder P. & MacKinnon, Robert J. & David Sevougian, S., 2013. "The application of systems engineering principles to the prioritization of sustainable nuclear fuel cycle options," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 205-217.
    7. Donald L. Keefer & Craig W. Kirkwood & James L. Corner, 2004. "Perspective on Decision Analysis Applications, 1990–2001," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 1(1), pages 4-22, March.
    8. Yael Grushka-Cockayne & Bert De Reyck & Zeger Degraeve, 2008. "An Integrated Decision-Making Approach for Improving European Air Traffic Management," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(8), pages 1395-1409, August.
    9. Yael Grushka-Cockayne & Bert De Reyck, 2009. "Towards a Single European Sky," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 39(5), pages 400-414, October.
    10. Zhou, P. & Ang, B.W. & Poh, K.L., 2006. "Decision analysis in energy and environmental modeling: An update," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(14), pages 2604-2622.
    11. McCarthy, Ryan W. & Ogden, Joan M. & Sperling, Daniel, 2007. "Assessing reliability in energy supply systems," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 2151-2162, April.
    12. Abdildin, Yerkin G. & Abbas, Ali E., 2016. "Analysis of decision alternatives of the deep borehole filter restoration problem," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1306-1321.
    13. A Mateos & S Ríos-Insua & A Jiménez, 2007. "Dominance, potential optimality and alternative ranking in imprecise multi-attribute decision making," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 58(3), pages 326-336, March.
    14. John C. Butler & Alexander N. Chebeskov & James S. Dyer & Thomas A. Edmunds & Jianmin Jia & Vladimir I. Oussanov, 2005. "The United States and Russia Evaluate Plutonium Disposition Options with Multiattribute Utility Theory," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 35(1), pages 88-101, February.

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