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The United States and Russia Evaluate Plutonium Disposition Options with Multiattribute Utility Theory

Author

Listed:
  • John C. Butler

    (Fisher School of Business, Ohio State University, 2100 Neil Avenue, Columbus, Ohio 43210)

  • Alexander N. Chebeskov

    (Department for Nuclear Power and Plutonium Disposition, Institute for Physics and Power Engineering, Obninsk Kaluga Region, Bondarenko Square 1, 249033 Russia)

  • James S. Dyer

    (Department of Management Science and Information Systems, McCombs School of Business, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas 78712)

  • Thomas A. Edmunds

    (Systems and Decision Sciences Section, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, 7000 East Avenue, Livermore, California 94550)

  • Jianmin Jia

    (Faculty of Business Administration, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, N.T., Hong Kong, China)

  • Vladimir I. Oussanov

    (Institute for Physics and Power Engineering, Obninsk Kaluga Region, Bondarenko Square 1, 249033 Russia)

Abstract

At the end of the Cold War, the United States and Russia entered into agreements to reduce the numbers of nuclear weapons in their arsenals. The excess-weapons plutonium recovered from dismantled weapons is extremely toxic in the environment, and the National Academy of Sciences has characterized the possibility that it could fall into the hands of terrorists as a “clear and present danger.” A team of operations research analysts supported the Office of Fissile Materials Disposition (OFMD) in the US Department of Energy (DOE) by developing a multiattribute utility (MAU) model to evaluate alternatives for the disposition of the excess-weapons plutonium. Russian scientists modified the model with the aid of the US team and used it to evaluate Russia's disposition alternatives.

Suggested Citation

  • John C. Butler & Alexander N. Chebeskov & James S. Dyer & Thomas A. Edmunds & Jianmin Jia & Vladimir I. Oussanov, 2005. "The United States and Russia Evaluate Plutonium Disposition Options with Multiattribute Utility Theory," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 35(1), pages 88-101, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:orinte:v:35:y:2005:i:1:p:88-101
    DOI: 10.1287/inte.1040.0112
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. James S. Dyer & Thomas Edmunds & John C. Butler & Jianmin Jia, 1998. "A Multiattribute Utility Analysis of Alternatives for the Disposition of Surplus Weapons-Grade Plutonium," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 46(6), pages 749-762, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. P. Daniel Wright & Matthew J. Liberatore & Robert L. Nydick, 2006. "A Survey of Operations Research Models and Applications in Homeland Security," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 36(6), pages 514-529, December.
    2. Roger Chapman Burk & Richard M. Nehring, 2023. "An Empirical Comparison of Rank-Based Surrogate Weights in Additive Multiattribute Decision Analysis," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 20(1), pages 55-72, March.
    3. Jyrki Wallenius & James S. Dyer & Peter C. Fishburn & Ralph E. Steuer & Stanley Zionts & Kalyanmoy Deb, 2008. "Multiple Criteria Decision Making, Multiattribute Utility Theory: Recent Accomplishments and What Lies Ahead," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 54(7), pages 1336-1349, July.

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