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The Impact of Monetary Strategies on Inflation Persistence

Author

Listed:
  • Evžen Kočenda

    (Institute of Economic Studies, Charles University (Prague) and Euro Area Business Cycle Network)

  • Balázs Varga

    (OTP Fund Management and Corvinus University of Budapest)

Abstract

We analyze the impact of price-stability-oriented monetary strategies on inflation persistence by using a time-varying coefficients framework in a panel of sixty-eight countries over 1993-2013. It is shown that inflation targeting (IT) is effective even during and after the financial crisis and that explicit IT has a stronger effect on taming inflation persistence than implicit IT. It is shown that exchange regimes with the euro as a reserve currency are more effective than those using the U.S. dollar. On the other hand, U.S. inflation persistence exhibits a disproportionally lower effect on other countries' persistence than its German counterpart.

Suggested Citation

  • Evžen Kočenda & Balázs Varga, 2018. "The Impact of Monetary Strategies on Inflation Persistence," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(4), pages 229-274, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2018:q:3:a:6
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    Cited by:

    1. Kučerová, Zuzana & Pakši, Daniel & Koňařík, Vojtěch, 2024. "Macroeconomic fundamentals and attention: What drives european consumers’ inflation expectations?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(1).
    2. Ansgar Belke & Jens Klose, 2019. "Forecasting ECB Policy Rates with Different Monetary Policy Rules," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(3), pages 238-252, June.
    3. Martin Feldkircher & Gabriele Tondl, 2020. "Global Factors Driving Inflation and Monetary Policy: A Global VAR Assessment," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 26(3), pages 225-247, August.
    4. Petrevski, Goran, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Inflation Targeting: A Survey of the Empirical Literature," EconStor Preprints 271122, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    5. Maciej Ryczkowski, 2021. "Money and inflation in inflation-targeting regimes – new evidence from time–frequency analysis," Journal of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 17-44, January.
    6. Simona Malovana & Dominika Kolcunova & Vaclav Broz, 2017. "Does Monetary Policy Influence Banks' Perception of Risks?," Working Papers 2017/9, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    7. Devpura, Neluka & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Harischandra, P.K.G. & Pathberiya, Lasitha R.C., 2021. "Is inflation persistent? Evidence from a time-varying unit root model," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    8. Brož, Václav & Kočenda, Evžen, 2018. "Dynamics and factors of inflation convergence in the European union," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 93-111.
    9. Kuo‐Hsuan Chin, 2022. "Inflation persistence and monetary policy: DSGE‐VAR approach," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 90(6), pages 715-729, December.
    10. Cruz, Christopher John, 2022. "Reduced macroeconomic volatility after adoption of inflation targeting: Impulses or propagation?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 759-770.
    11. Dejan Zivkov & Marina Gajic-Glamoclija & Jelena Kovacevic & Sanja Loncar, 2020. "Inflation Uncertainty and Output Growth - Evidence from the Asia-Pacific Countries Based on the Multiscale Bayesian Quantile Inference," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 70(5), pages 461-486, November.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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