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Inter-party vote movements in Turkey: The sources of AKP votes in 2007

Author

Listed:
  • Ali AKARCA

    (University of Illinois at Chicago)

  • Cem BAŞLEVENT

    (Istanbul Bilgi Universitesi)

Abstract

Using data drawn from a nationwide voter tendencies survey conducted shortly before the July 2007 parliamentary election in Turkey, inter-party vote movements during the 2002-2007 period are investigated with the Justice and Development Party (AKP) as the focal point. A descriptive analysis relying on two and four-way partitions of the data set reveals that, in comparison to the relatively small group of ‘deserters’ from the party, the ‘newcomers’ to the AKP are younger, more female, more satisfied with the performance of the economy, and more likely to be pro-EU membership. The data also show that AKP supporters are less educated and less concerned about the threats to secularism than the rest of the voters. The key finding of the econometric work is that economic evaluations – especially retrospective ones – have a strong association with the party choice in the 2007 elections.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali AKARCA & Cem BAŞLEVENT, 2009. "Inter-party vote movements in Turkey: The sources of AKP votes in 2007," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 24(285), pages 32-47.
  • Handle: RePEc:iif:iifjrn:v:24:y:2009:i:285:p:32-47
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ali T. Akarca & Aysit Tansel, 2016. "Voter reaction to government incompetence and corruption related to the 1999 earthquakes in Turkey," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 43(2), pages 309-335, May.
    2. Ali T. Akarca, 2010. "Analysis of the 2009 Turkish Election Results from an Economic Voting Perspective," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 3-38.
    3. Ali T. Akarca, 2014. "How Should We Interpret the Outcome of the June 2015 Parliamentary Election in Turkey?," Ekonomi-tek - International Economics Journal, Turkish Economic Association, vol. 3(3), pages 1-22, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Elections; Voter behavior; Economic voting; Party choice; Turkey; logit;

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior

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