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The Income Elasticity of Tax Revenue: Estimates for Income and Consumption Taxes in the United Kingdom

Author

Listed:
  • John Creedy
  • Norman Gemmell

Abstract

This paper provides estimates of individual and aggregate revenue elasticities of income and consumption taxes in the UK over the period 1989-2000. Its shows how budgetary changes, including changes to income-related deductions, have substantially affected income elasticities. The estimates of consumption tax revenue elasticities show that changes in consumption patterns over time are important. A merit of the approach used here is that elasticity estimates can be calculated readily from official published sources.

Suggested Citation

  • John Creedy & Norman Gemmell, 2004. "The Income Elasticity of Tax Revenue: Estimates for Income and Consumption Taxes in the United Kingdom," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 25(1), pages 55-77, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:ifs:fistud:v:25:y:2004:i:1:p:55-77
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Acheson, Jean & Lawless, Martina & Lawlor, Donough & Tarrant, Oisín & Weymes, Laura, 2021. "Responsiveness of corporation tax revenues to taxable income: A firm-level approach," Papers WP715, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    2. Bernd Hayo & Sascha Mierzwa & Umut Unal, 2021. "Estimating Policy-Corrected Long-Term and Short-Term Tax Elasticities for the United States, Germany, and the United Kingdom," MAGKS Papers on Economics 202112, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    3. Acheson, Jean & Deli, Yota & Lambert, Derek & Morgenroth, Edgar, 2017. "Income tax revenue elasticities in Ireland: an analytical approach," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number RS59, June.
    4. Acheson, Jean & Deli, Yota & Morgenroth, Edgar & Lambert, Derek & Murphy, Martin, 2018. "VAT revenue elasticities: an analytical approach," Papers WP596, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    5. Manjón Álvarez, Adrián M., 2018. "Elasticidades tributarias dinámicas: evidencias a corto plazo y largo plazo en Bolivia (1990-2018)," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 31, pages 100-134, May.
    6. Yu kun Wang & Li Zhang, 2021. "Underground economy and GDP growth: Evidence from China’s tax reforms," Journal of Tax Reform, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 7(1), pages 87-107.
    7. Prammer, Doris, 2019. "How does population ageing impact on personal income taxes and social security contributions?," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 14(C).
    8. Yota Deli & Derek Lambert & Martina Lawless & Kieran McQuinn & Edgar L. W. Morgenroth, 2017. "How Sensitive is Irish Income Tax Revenue to Underlying Economic Activity?," The Economic and Social Review, Economic and Social Studies, vol. 48(3), pages 317-336.
    9. Joaquim Sarmento, 2016. "The Determinants Of Value Added Tax Revenues In The European Union," Portuguese Journal of Management Studies, ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa, vol. 21(2), pages 79-99.
    10. Reed, W. Robert & Rogers, Cynthia L & Skidmore, Mark, 2011. "On Estimating Marginal Tax Rates for U.S. States," National Tax Journal, National Tax Association;National Tax Journal, vol. 64(1), pages 59-84, March.
    11. Roshaiza Taha & Nanthakumar Loganathan, 2008. "Causality Between Tax Revenue And Government Spending In Malaysia," The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 2(2), pages 63-73.
    12. Bernd Hayo & Sascha Mierzwa & Umut Ünal, 2023. "Estimating policy-corrected long-term and short-term tax elasticities for the USA, Germany, and the United Kingdom," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(1), pages 465-504, January.
    13. Maria O. Kakaulina, 2021. "Projected shortfall in personal income tax revenues of regional governments in Russia due to the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Tax Reform, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 7(1), pages 39-54.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies
    • H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General

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