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Synopsis of global scenario and forecasting surveys scenarios in risk habitat megacity (RHM)

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  • Tobias Woll

    (IET - Universidade Nova de Lisboa and ITAS – Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe)

Abstract

The main objective of the paper is to provide a synopsis of global scenario and forecasting surveys. First, the paper will give an overview on existing global scenario and forecasting surveys and their specific scenario philosophies and storylines. Second, the major driving forces that shape and characterise the different scenarios will be identified. The scenario analysis has been provided for the research project Risk Habitat Megacity (HRM) that aims at developing strategies for sustainable development in megacities and urban agglomerations. The analysis of international scenario surveys is an essential component within RHM. The scenario analysis will be the basis and source for the development of own RHM-framework scenarios and for defining specific driving forces of change.

Suggested Citation

  • Tobias Woll, 2008. "Synopsis of global scenario and forecasting surveys scenarios in risk habitat megacity (RHM)," Enterprise and Work Innovation Studies, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, IET/CICS.NOVA-Interdisciplinary Centre on Social Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, vol. 4(4), pages 49-76, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ieu:journl:v:4:y:2008:i:4:p:49-76
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    File URL: http://run.unl.pt/handle/10362/1889
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. António Brandão Moniz, 2006. "Scenario-Building Methods as a Tool for Policy Analysis," Springer Books, in: Benoît Rihoux & Heike Grimm (ed.), Innovative Comparative Methods for Policy Analysis, chapter 0, pages 185-209, Springer.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    scenarios; megacities; risk habitat;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • N90 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R52 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Land Use and Other Regulations

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