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Effects of Foreign Debt and Foreign Aid on Economic Growth in Somalia

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  • Ali Yassin Sheikh Ali
  • Mohamed Saney Dalmar
  • Ali Abdulkadir Ali

Abstract

This paper aims to assess the effects of foreign debt and foreign aid on economic growth in Somalia from 1970 to 2014. The ordinary least squares (OLS) method was used and basic model assumption tests were also employed. We used the Augmented Dickey−Fuller (ADF) and Philip-Perron (PP) tests for the unit root and the Johansen cointegration test to determine the long-run relationship between the variables. The results of the study show that, in Somalia, foreign debt has an insignificant effect on economic growth, while the foreign aid has positive significant effect on economic growth. The results also indicate that the cointegration method confirms the incidence of long-run association among the variables. There is little research regarding the exact relationship between increasing foreign debt and foreign aid on economic growth in Somalia. This study is also different from previous studies as we used ADF and PP tests for the unit root and the Johansen cointegration test for the long-run relationship between the variables. Additionally, the study used multivariate techniques. The paper concludes that foreign aid is essential in economic growth and several policy implications are proposed.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali Yassin Sheikh Ali & Mohamed Saney Dalmar & Ali Abdulkadir Ali, 2018. "Effects of Foreign Debt and Foreign Aid on Economic Growth in Somalia," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(11), pages 1-95, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:10:y:2018:i:11:p:95
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mohammed Elhaj Mustafa Ali & Manal Mahagoub Elshakh & Ebaidalla Mahjoub Ebaidalla, 2018. "Does Foreign Aid Promote Economic Growth in Sudan? Evidence from ARDL Bounds Testing Analysis," Working Papers 1251, Economic Research Forum, revised 13 Nov 2018.
    2. Sebastine Ugochukwu Ugwuegbe & I.G Okafor & Christian Azino Akarogbe, 2016. "Effect of External Borrowing and Foreign Aid on Economic Growth in Nigeria," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 6(4), pages 155-175, April.
    3. Appiah-Konadu, Paul & Junior, Forster Shitsi & Eric, Abokyi & Twerefou, Daniel K., 2016. "The Effect of Foreign Aid on Economic Growth in Ghana," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 4(2), July.
    4. Gunakar Bhatta, 2003. "An Assessment of the Impact of External Debt on Economic Growth of Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, vol. 15, pages 243-262, April.
    5. Nikolaos Dritsakis & Erotokritos Varelas & Antonios Adamopoulos, 2006. "The Main Determinants of Economic Growth : An Empirical Investigation with Granger Causality Analysis for Greece," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3-4), pages 47-58.
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    1. Dervis Kirikkaleli & Ibrahim Adeshola & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Abraham Ayobamiji Awosusi, 2021. "Do foreign aid triggers economic growth in Chad? A time series analysis," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-17, December.

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    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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