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Mapping Futures Studies

Author

Listed:
  • Rafael Popper

    (Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, University of Manchester (UK))

Abstract

In recent decades Foresight and other forward-looking activities (FLA) gained ground as a tool of science, technology and innovation (STI) policy. The number of FLA studies is globally rising. To some extent, foresight is governed by context-depended issues; however there are also common features in the objectives, methodology, and recommendations made. Mapping allows codifying and analyzing a bulk of FLA experiences gained worldwide. This in turn will contribute to enhancing performance of such activities and therefore of STI policy as a whole. The paper provides rationales for Futures Studies mapping, considers related opportunities and challenges, reviews lessons learned from early mapping efforts. It focuses on the large-scale EU-funded mapping project “European Foresight Platform” (EFP). Using this project as illustration, the paper describes mapping routines, the selected indicators of mapped Foresight initiatives, including their objectives, participants, target groups, methodologies, outcomes and recommendations. It discusses the potential and the limitations of particular mapping tools as well as possible applications of gained knowledge. Basing on mapping results, policy-makers, for example, are able to identify gaps to be addressed with relevant policy tools. Mapping also allows Foresight practitioners to develop strategies for further research and shape expert networks for their implementation. Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Suggested Citation

  • Rafael Popper, 2012. "Mapping Futures Studies," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 6(2), pages 56-75.
    • Handle: RePEc:hig:fsight:v:6:y:2012:i:2:p:56-75
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    File URL: http://foresight-journal.hse.ru/data/2013/06/05/1285045283/6-Popper-56-75.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ron Johnston, 2011. "Future-Oriented Technology Analysis: The Cassandra Challenge," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 5(2), pages 58-64.
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    Cited by:

    1. Margarita N. Ignatyeva & Vera V. Yurak & Alexey V. Dushin & Irina G. Polyanskaya, 2021. "Assessing challenges and threats for balanced subsoil use," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(12), pages 17904-17922, December.
    2. Svetlana V. Sibatrova & Konstantin Vishnevskiy, 2016. "Present and Future of the Production: Integrating Lean Management into Corporate Foresight," HSE Working papers WP BRP 66/STI/2016, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    3. Gershman, Mikhail & Bredikhin, Sergey & Vishnevskiy, Konstantin, 2016. "The role of corporate foresight and technology roadmapping in companies' innovation development: The case of Russian state-owned enterprises," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 187-195.
    4. Daria A. Pavlova & Yulia V. Milshina & Konstantin O. Vishnevskiy & Ozcan Saritas, 2018. "The Role Of Wild Cards Analysis In Foresight Studies: The Case Of Russia," HSE Working papers WP BRP 89/STI/2018, National Research University Higher School of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Forward-looking activities (FLA); Foresight; mapping; FLA players; FLA practices; FLA outcomes; SMART Futures;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O39 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Other

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