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Determination and Sensitivity Analysis of Urban Waterlogging Driving Factors Based on Spatial Analysis Method

Author

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  • Haiyan Yang

    (Beijing Climate Change Research and Talent Training Base, Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Beijing 100044, China)

  • Wang Ning

    (Beijing Climate Change Research and Talent Training Base, Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Beijing 100044, China)

  • Zhe Wang

    (Beijing Climate Change Research and Talent Training Base, Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Beijing 100044, China)

  • Xiaobo Sun

    (Ecological and Municipal Infrastructure Planning & Design Institute (Beijing), CAUPD Beijing Planing & Design Consultants Ltd., Beijing 100044, China)

Abstract

The identification of waterlogging driving factors and the assessment of associated risks are of utmost importance to enable cities to sustain their development. Initially, this paper utilizes the kernel density estimation (KDE) technique to visually display the spatial distribution features of waterlogging points within the downtown region of City B. Employing a spatial analysis method, the examination through the application of Global Moran’s I reveals that the central urban area of City B exhibits a spatial clustering distribution. Moreover, nine influencing factors, including terrain characteristics, land cover features, and infrastructure construction aspects, are chosen as the elements that drive the continual occurrences of waterlogging due to rainstorms incidents. By applying the geographic detector (GD) and random forest regression (RF) models, an in-depth exploration into the agents leading to rainstorm waterlogging is conducted. The outcomes demonstrate that the surface impervious rate stands out as the primary factor. Additionally, under the geographic detector model, it has been verified that the integrated effect of two factors is more significant than that of a solitary factor, with the interaction between the surface impervious rate and community density having the most prominent influence on waterlogging situations within the investigated area. Finally, through the utilization of the random forest model, the sensitive areas inclined to experience waterlogging in the investigated area are demarcated. The findings of this research can offer valuable references for the management of urban rainstorm waterlogging as well as the sustainable development of cities.

Suggested Citation

  • Haiyan Yang & Wang Ning & Zhe Wang & Xiaobo Sun, 2025. "Determination and Sensitivity Analysis of Urban Waterlogging Driving Factors Based on Spatial Analysis Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-23, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:6:p:2785-:d:1617001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Huafei Yu & Yaolong Zhao & Yingchun Fu, 2019. "Optimization of Impervious Surface Space Layout for Prevention of Urban Rainstorm Waterlogging: A Case Study of Guangzhou, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-28, September.
    2. Shiqiang Du & Peijun Shi & Anton Rompaey & Jiahong Wen, 2015. "Quantifying the impact of impervious surface location on flood peak discharge in urban areas," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 76(3), pages 1457-1471, April.
    3. Santiago Gaitan & Marie-claire ten Veldhuis & Nick Giesen, 2015. "Spatial Distribution of Flood Incidents Along Urban Overland Flow-Paths," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(9), pages 3387-3399, July.
    4. Huafei Yu & Yaolong Zhao & Yingchun Fu & Le Li, 2018. "Spatiotemporal Variance Assessment of Urban Rainstorm Waterlogging Affected by Impervious Surface Expansion: A Case Study of Guangzhou, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-22, October.
    5. Chaochao Li & Xiaotao Cheng & Na Li & Xiaohe Du & Qian Yu & Guangyuan Kan, 2016. "A Framework for Flood Risk Analysis and Benefit Assessment of Flood Control Measures in Urban Areas," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-18, August.
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