IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v17y2025i17p7910-d1740884.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatial Distribution and Environmental Variables Associated with Control Failures of Phthorimaea absoluta by Insecticides Determined by Machine Learning Algorithm

Author

Listed:
  • Jhersyka da Silva Paes

    (Department of Agronomy, Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Florestal 35690-000, MG, Brazil)

  • Letícia Caroline da Silva Sant’Ana

    (Department of Agronomy, Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Florestal 35690-000, MG, Brazil)

  • Damaris Rosa de Freitas

    (Department of Agronomy, Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Florestal 35690-000, MG, Brazil)

  • Emílio de Souza Pimentel

    (Department of Agronomy, Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Florestal 35690-000, MG, Brazil)

  • Darliane Mengali dos Reis

    (Department of Agronomy, Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Florestal 35690-000, MG, Brazil)

  • Ricardo Siqueira Silva

    (Department of Agronomy, Universidade Federal dos Vales do Jequitinhonha e Mucuri, Diamantina 39100-000, MG, Brazil)

  • Raul Narciso Carvalho Guedes

    (Department of Agronomy, Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Florestal 35690-000, MG, Brazil)

  • Marcelo Coutinho Picanço

    (Department of Agronomy, Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Florestal 35690-000, MG, Brazil)

Abstract

For pest control to be sustainable, the methods applied must be efficient and have a low environmental impact. Pest control failures bring economic and environmental problems. Phthorimaea absoluta is the main pest in tomato crops worldwide. Benzoylureas, diamides, and pyrethroids are among the insecticides with the highest reports of pest control failures, and Brazil is the country where this has been most observed. Machine learning models are suitable for predicting biological events. Thus, this study aimed to determine the risks of failures in the control of P. absoluta by insecticides in Brazilian biomes using the MaxEnt machine learning algorithm. The risks of pest control failures by benzoylureas and pyrethroids were higher in tomato crops located in the Cerrado and Atlantic Forest biomes, and annual precipitation was the critical variable associated with these failures. The risks of control failures by diamides were higher in crops located in the Caatinga, Cerrado, and Atlantic Forest, and temperature seasonality was the critical variable associated with these failures. In conclusion, the models determined in the study are robust to predict the regions with higher risks of P. absoluta control failures by insecticides, and they indicated the environmental variables associated with these risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Jhersyka da Silva Paes & Letícia Caroline da Silva Sant’Ana & Damaris Rosa de Freitas & Emílio de Souza Pimentel & Darliane Mengali dos Reis & Ricardo Siqueira Silva & Raul Narciso Carvalho Guedes & M, 2025. "Spatial Distribution and Environmental Variables Associated with Control Failures of Phthorimaea absoluta by Insecticides Determined by Machine Learning Algorithm," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-15, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:17:p:7910-:d:1740884
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/17/7910/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/17/7910/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Haidong Ou & Xiaolin Mu & Zaijian Yuan & Xiankun Yang & Yishan Liao & Kim Loi Nguyen & Samran Sombatpanit, 2024. "Mapping Benggang Erosion Susceptibility: An Analysis of Environmental Influencing Factors Based on the Maxent Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-23, August.
    2. Marius D. Pascariu & Adam Lenart & Vladimir Canudas-Romo, 2019. "The maximum entropy mortality model: forecasting mortality using statistical moments," Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2019(8), pages 661-685, September.
    3. Christine Okali & James Sumberg, 2012. "Quick Money and Power: Tomatoes and Livelihood Building in Rural Brong Ahafo, Ghana," IDS Bulletin, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 43(6), pages 44-57, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Joseph I. Uduji & Elda N. Okolo-Obasi, 2021. "Empowerment of Rural Young People in Informal Farm Entrepreneurship: The Role of Corporate Social Responsibility in Nigeria’s Oil Producing Communities," Working Papers of the African Governance and Development Institute. 21/033, African Governance and Development Institute..
    2. Marina Temudo & Manuel Abrantes, 2015. "The Pen and the Plough: Balanta Young Men in Guinea-Bissau," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 46(3), pages 464-485, May.
    3. Petit, Olivier & Kuper, Marcel & Ameur, Fatah, 2018. "From worker to peasant and then to entrepreneur? Land reform and agrarian change in the Saïss (Morocco)," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 119-131.
    4. Trent Brown, 2020. "Pathways to Agricultural Skill Development in the Indian Himalayas," Journal of South Asian Development, , vol. 15(2), pages 270-292, August.
    5. James Sumberg & Nana Akua Anyidoho & Michael Chasukwa & Blessings Chinsinga & Jennifer Leavy & Getnet Tadele & Stephen Whitfield & Joseph Yaro, 2014. "Young People, Agriculture, and Employment in Rural Africa," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2014-080, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    6. Frederick Amon-Armah & Nana Akua Anyidoho & Isaac Alvin Amoah & Sander Muilerman, 2023. "A Typology of Young Cocoa Farmers: Attitudes, Motivations and Aspirations," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 35(4), pages 770-793, August.
    7. James Sumberg & Thomas Yeboah & Justin Flynn & Nana Akua Anyidoho, 2017. "Young people’s perspectives on farming in Ghana: a Q study," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 9(1), pages 151-161, February.
    8. Scheiterle, Lilli & Birner, Regina, "undated". "Gender, knowledge and power: A case study of Market Queens in Ghana," 2018 Annual Meeting, August 5-7, Washington, D.C. 274125, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Roy Huijsmans & Aprilia Ambarwati & Charina Chazali & M. Vijayabaskar, 2021. "Farming, Gender and Aspirations Across Young People’s Life Course: Attempting to Keep Things Open While Becoming a Farmer," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 33(1), pages 71-88, February.
    10. Grace Muthoni Mwaura, 2017. "Just Farming? Neoliberal Subjectivities and Agricultural Livelihoods among Educated Youth in Kenya," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 48(6), pages 1310-1335, November.
    11. Joseph I. Uduji & Elda N. Okolo-Obasi, 2021. "Empowerment of Rural Young People in Informal Farm Entrepreneurship: The Role of Corporate Social Responsibility in Nigeria’s Oil Producing Communities," Working Papers 21/033, European Xtramile Centre of African Studies (EXCAS).
    12. M. Tauzie & T. D. G. Hermans & S. Whitfield, 2024. "The new achikumbe elite: food systems transformation in the context of digital platforms use in agriculture in Malawi," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 41(2), pages 475-489, June.
    13. Mapila, Mariam A. T. J., 2014. "Agricultural policy processes and the youth in Malawi:," IFPRI discussion papers 1335, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    14. Joseph I. Uduji & Elda N. Okolo-Obasi, 2021. "Empowerment of Rural Young People in Informal Farm Entrepreneurship: The Role of Corporate Social Responsibility in Nigeria’s Oil Producing Communities," Research Africa Network Working Papers 21/033, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    15. Kadzamira, Mariam & Kazembe, Cynthia, 2015. "Youth engagement in Agricultural Policy Processes in Malawi," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211821, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    16. Scheiterle, Lilli & Birner, Regina, 2021. "The Myth of the Market Queens: a Case Study of Women and Power in Ghanaian Markets," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315924, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    17. Joseph Kwaku Kidido & Monica Lengoiboni, 2019. "Household Land Allocations and the Youth Land Access Nexus: Evidence from the Techiman Area of Ghana," Land, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-19, December.
    18. Phil Mike Jones & Jon Minton & Andrew Bell, 2023. "Methods for disentangling period and cohort changes in mortality risk over the twentieth century: comparing graphical and modelling approaches," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(4), pages 3219-3239, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:17:p:7910-:d:1740884. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.