IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v14y2022i12p7394-d840737.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatio-Temporal Traffic Flow Prediction Based on Coordinated Attention

Author

Listed:
  • Min Li

    (School of Mechanical and Automobile Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, No. 777 Jialingjiang Road, Qingdao 266520, China)

  • Mengshan Li

    (School of Mechanical and Automobile Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, No. 777 Jialingjiang Road, Qingdao 266520, China)

  • Bilong Liu

    (School of Mechanical and Automobile Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, No. 777 Jialingjiang Road, Qingdao 266520, China)

  • Jiang Liu

    (School of Mechanical and Automobile Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, No. 777 Jialingjiang Road, Qingdao 266520, China)

  • Zhen Liu

    (Hubei Key Laboratory of Power System Design and Test for Electrical Vehicle, Hubei University of Arts and Science, Xiangyang 441053, China)

  • Dijia Luo

    (School of Mechanical and Automobile Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, No. 777 Jialingjiang Road, Qingdao 266520, China)

Abstract

Traffic flow prediction can provide effective support for traffic management and control and plays an important role in the traffic system. Traffic flow has strong spatio-temporal characteristics, and existing traffic flow prediction models tend to extract long-term dependencies of traffic flow in the temporal and spatial dimensions individually, often ignoring the potential correlations existing between spatio-temporal information of traffic flow. In order to further improve the prediction accuracy, this paper proposes a coordinated attention-based spatio-temporal graph convolutional network (CVSTGCN) model for simultaneously and dynamically capturing the long-term dependencies existing between the spatio-temporal information of traffic flows. CVSTGCN is composed of a full convolutional network structure, which combines coordinate methods to specify the influence degrees of different feature information in different spatio-temporal dimensions, and the spatio-temporal information of different spatio-temporal dimensions by the graph convolutional network. In addition, the hard-swish activation function is introduced to replace the Rectified Linear Unit (ReLU) activation function in the prediction of traffic flow. Finally, evaluation experiments are conducted on two real datasets to demonstrate that the proposed model has the best prediction performance in both short-term and long-term forecasting.

Suggested Citation

  • Min Li & Mengshan Li & Bilong Liu & Jiang Liu & Zhen Liu & Dijia Luo, 2022. "Spatio-Temporal Traffic Flow Prediction Based on Coordinated Attention," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-17, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:12:p:7394-:d:840737
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/12/7394/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/14/12/7394/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Okutani, Iwao & Stephanedes, Yorgos J., 1984. "Dynamic prediction of traffic volume through Kalman filtering theory," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 1-11, February.
    2. Huang, Haichao & Chen, Jingya & Sun, Rui & Wang, Shuang, 2022. "Short-term traffic prediction based on time series decomposition," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 585(C).
    3. Zhijie Xu & Liyan Hou & Yueying Zhang & Jianqin Zhang, 2022. "Passenger Flow Prediction of Scenic Spot Using a GCN–RNN Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-14, March.
    4. Peng, Yanni & Xiang, Wanli, 2020. "Short-term traffic volume prediction using GA-BP based on wavelet denoising and phase space reconstruction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 549(C).
    5. Yan Zheng & Chunjiao Dong & Daiyue Dong & Shengyou Wang, 2021. "Traffic Volume Prediction: A Fusion Deep Learning Model Considering Spatial–Temporal Correlation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-18, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Junzhuo Li & Wenyong Li & Guan Lian, 2022. "Optimal Aggregate Size of Traffic Sequence Data Based on Fuzzy Entropy and Mutual Information," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-17, November.
    2. Tianhe Lan & Xiaojing Zhang & Dayi Qu & Yufeng Yang & Yicheng Chen, 2023. "Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction Based on the Optimization Study of Initial Weights of the Attention Mechanism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-16, January.
    3. Tao Wang & Sixuan Li & Wenyong Li & Quan Yuan & Jun Chen & Xiang Tang, 2023. "A Short-Term Parking Demand Prediction Framework Integrating Overall and Internal Information," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-25, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ma, Changxi & Zhao, Mingxi, 2023. "Spatio-temporal multi-graph convolutional network based on wavelet analysis for vehicle speed prediction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 630(C).
    2. Xing, Tao & Zhou, Xuesong & Taylor, Jeffrey, 2013. "Designing heterogeneous sensor networks for estimating and predicting path travel time dynamics: An information-theoretic modeling approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 66-90.
    3. Zhang, Weibin & Zha, Huazhu & Zhang, Shuai & Ma, Lei, 2023. "Road section traffic flow prediction method based on the traffic factor state network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 618(C).
    4. M. Bierlaire & F. Crittin, 2004. "An Efficient Algorithm for Real-Time Estimation and Prediction of Dynamic OD Tables," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 52(1), pages 116-127, February.
    5. Safikhani, Abolfazl & Kamga, Camille & Mudigonda, Sandeep & Faghih, Sabiheh Sadat & Moghimi, Bahman, 2020. "Spatio-temporal modeling of yellow taxi demands in New York City using generalized STAR models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 1138-1148.
    6. Balaji Ganesh Rajagopal & Manish Kumar & Pijush Samui & Mosbeh R. Kaloop & Usama Elrawy Shahdah, 2022. "A Hybrid DNN Model for Travel Time Estimation from Spatio-Temporal Features," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-20, October.
    7. Lu, Xijin & Ma, Changxi & Qiao, Yihuan, 2021. "Short-term demand forecasting for online car-hailing using ConvLSTM networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 570(C).
    8. Shenghan Zhou & Chaofan Wei & Chaofei Song & Yu Fu & Rui Luo & Wenbing Chang & Linchao Yang, 2022. "A Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Short-Term Traffic Flow Pre-Diction Considering Spatiotemporal Features," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-14, August.
    9. Zhai, Linbo & Yang, Yong & Song, Shudian & Ma, Shuyue & Zhu, Xiumin & Yang, Feng, 2021. "Self-supervision Spatiotemporal Part-Whole Convolutional Neural Network for Traffic Prediction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 579(C).
    10. Owais, Mahmoud & Moussa, Ghada S. & Hussain, Khaled F., 2019. "Sensor location model for O/D estimation: Multi-criteria meta-heuristics approach," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 6(C).
    11. Chen, Xinqiang & Chen, Huixing & Yang, Yongsheng & Wu, Huafeng & Zhang, Wenhui & Zhao, Jiansen & Xiong, Yong, 2021. "Traffic flow prediction by an ensemble framework with data denoising and deep learning model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 565(C).
    12. Xia, Dong & Zheng, Linjiang & Tang, Yi & Cai, Xiaolin & Chen, Li & Sun, Dihua, 2022. "Dynamic traffic prediction for urban road network with the interpretable model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 605(C).
    13. Maosheng Li & Chen Zhang, 2024. "An Urban Metro Section Flow Forecasting Method Combining Time Series Decomposition and a Generative Adversarial Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-19, January.
    14. Lu, Wenqi & Yi, Ziwei & Wu, Renfei & Rui, Yikang & Ran, Bin, 2022. "Traffic speed forecasting for urban roads: A deep ensemble neural network model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 593(C).
    15. Jilin Zhang & Yanling Chen & Shuaifeng Zhang & Yang Zhang, 2024. "SAD-ARGRU: A Metro Passenger Flow Prediction Model for Graph Residual Gated Recurrent Networks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-22, April.
    16. Cantelmo, Guido & Qurashi, Moeid & Prakash, A. Arun & Antoniou, Constantinos & Viti, Francesco, 2020. "Incorporating trip chaining within online demand estimation," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 171-187.
    17. Lederman, Roger & Wynter, Laura, 2011. "Real-time traffic estimation using data expansion," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(7), pages 1062-1079, August.
    18. Zhou, Xuesong & Mahmassani, Hani S., 2007. "A structural state space model for real-time traffic origin-destination demand estimation and prediction in a day-to-day learning framework," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 41(8), pages 823-840, October.
    19. Huang, Hai-chao & Chen, Jing-ya & Shi, Bao-cun & He, Hong-di, 2023. "Multi-step forecasting of short-term traffic flow based on Intrinsic Pattern Transform," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 621(C).
    20. Chuang Yin & Nan Wei & Jinghang Wu & Chuhong Ruan & Xi Luo & Fanhua Zeng, 2024. "An Empirical Mode Decomposition-Based Hybrid Model for Sub-Hourly Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-17, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:12:p:7394-:d:840737. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.