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Role of Spatial Analysis in Avoiding Climate Change Maladaptation: A Systematic Review

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  • Chia-Fa Chi

    (Department of Marine Environment and Engineering, National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung 80424, Taiwan)

  • Shiau-Yun Lu

    (Department of Marine Environment and Engineering, National Sun Yat-sen University, Kaohsiung 80424, Taiwan)

  • Willow Hallgren

    (Environmental Futures Research Institute, Griffith University, Gold Coast Campus, Southport, QLD 4215, Australia
    Griffith Climate Change Response Program, Griffith University, Gold Coast Campus, Southport, QLD 4215, Australia)

  • Daniel Ware

    (Griffith Climate Change Response Program, Griffith University, Gold Coast Campus, Southport, QLD 4215, Australia
    Griffith Centre for Coastal Management, Griffith University, Gold Coast Campus, Southport, QLD 4215, Australia)

  • Rodger Tomlinson

    (Griffith Centre for Coastal Management, Griffith University, Gold Coast Campus, Southport, QLD 4215, Australia)

Abstract

With the rapid development of climate change adaptation over recent decades, a considerable amount of evidence has been collected on maladaptation associated with climate change adaptation initiatives, particularly in terms of risk transfer and risk substitution. Increasing our understanding of maladaptation is important for avoiding negative outcomes of adaptation project implementation. However, maladaptation has received limited research attention. Previous research has focused on frameworks that can assist in defining and avoiding maladaptive risk and be applied to adaptation initiative planning processes. Adaptation may cause more significant influences on spatial land change than the direct effect of climate change does. Identifying the adaptation consequences that are likely to result in maladaptation is crucial. A combination of spatial land analysis and climate change analysis can be used for the aforementioned identification. However, empirical case studies on methods that can assess and evaluate the risk of maladaptation by integrating spatial and temporal aspects in a land spatial modeling tool have not been conducted. The present study aimed to fill this research gap by exploring the existing knowledge on maladaptation to climate change. We examined the interaction among spatial analysis, evaluated maladaptation frameworks, and project design to extend our conceptual understanding on maladaptation to climate change. We adopted a systematic review method that involved considering several questions including the following: (a) What are the definitions and categories of maladaptation? (b) What methods and theoretical frameworks exist for the assessment and evaluation of maladaptive risk? (c) How have climate-related research communities considered issues of maladaptation? (d) What are the experimental studies on land use change that can be referred to for minimizing maladaptive risks in future adaptation planning? In conclusion, further research on maladaptation should integrate spatial land analysis methods to facilitate the identification and avoidance of maladaptive risk in the initial stage of adaptation planning.

Suggested Citation

  • Chia-Fa Chi & Shiau-Yun Lu & Willow Hallgren & Daniel Ware & Rodger Tomlinson, 2021. "Role of Spatial Analysis in Avoiding Climate Change Maladaptation: A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-22, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:6:p:3450-:d:520916
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Oscar Higuera Roa & Yvonne Walz & Udo Nehren, 2025. "How to avoid the risk of maladaptation? From a conceptual understanding to a systematic approach for analyzing potential adverse effects in adaptation actions," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 1-29, April.
    3. Sirkku Juhola & Janina Käyhkö, 2023. "Maladaptation as a concept and a metric in national adaptation policy- Should we, would we, could we?," PLOS Climate, Public Library of Science, vol. 2(5), pages 1-11, May.

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