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Analysis of Flood Risk Due to Sea Level Rise in the Menor Sea (Murcia, Spain)

Author

Listed:
  • Antonio Martínez-Graña

    (Department of Geology, Faculty of Sciences, University of Salamanca, Plaza de la Merced s/n, 37008 Salamanca, Spain)

  • Diego Gómez

    (Department of Geology, Faculty of Sciences, University of Salamanca, Plaza de la Merced s/n, 37008 Salamanca, Spain)

  • Fernando Santos-Francés

    (Department of Soil Sciences, Faculty of Environmental Sciences, University of Salamanca, Avenue Filiberto Villalobos, 119, 37007 Salamanca, Spain)

  • Teresa Bardají

    (Department of Geology, Geography and Environmental Sciences, Sciences Faculty, Road A-II, Km 33,600, 28871 Alcalá Henares, Spain)

  • José Luis Goy

    (Department of Geology, Faculty of Sciences, University of Salamanca, Plaza de la Merced s/n, 37008 Salamanca, Spain)

  • Caridad Zazo

    (National Museum of Natural Sciences, Section Geology, Street José Gutiérrez Abascal No. 2, 28006 Madrid, Spain)

Abstract

This article analyzes the coastal vulnerability and flood risk due to sea level rise in the Menor Sea, Murcia (Spain). The vulnerability has been estimated from Sentinel-2 and Landsat 8 satellite imagery using Remote Sensing techniques. The risk of coastal flooding was calculated based on various time scenarios (X 0 -current, X 1 -100 years, X 2 -500 years, X 3 -1000 years, X 4 -Storm, X 5 -Tsunami). Geographic Information System and Remote Sensing techniques were used to build a regional model to predict changes in the mean sea level for several future scenarios, showing susceptible areas to be flooded. We have included new parameters to the model such as swell, mareal range or neotectonic factors aiming to better adjust it to the local conditions. The results showed a high risk of flooding in the barrier beach and coastal areas of the Menor Sea, with a medium to very high degree of vulnerability for the most populated and touristic areas. The maximum and minimum expected increase of the water sheet for the 100 year scenarios ranged from +4.22 to +5.69 m. This methodology can establish sectors that need structural measures to minimize the impact of the sea level rise occurring due to natural tendency in the short or long term, as well as by extreme events such as storm surges or tsunamis. Furthermore, it can be used in other areas to assist land management decision makers to reduce or mitigate the vulnerability and risk presented against the rise of the sea level.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonio Martínez-Graña & Diego Gómez & Fernando Santos-Francés & Teresa Bardají & José Luis Goy & Caridad Zazo, 2018. "Analysis of Flood Risk Due to Sea Level Rise in the Menor Sea (Murcia, Spain)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-19, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:3:p:780-:d:135919
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert E. Kopp & Frederik J. Simons & Jerry X. Mitrovica & Adam C. Maloof & Michael Oppenheimer, 2009. "Probabilistic assessment of sea level during the last interglacial stage," Nature, Nature, vol. 462(7275), pages 863-867, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Robert, Samuel & Schleyer-Lindenmann, Alexandra, 2021. "How ready are we to cope with climate change? Extent of adaptation to sea level rise and coastal risks in local planning documents of southern France," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    2. Ch. Giannakidou & D. Diakoulaki & C. D. Memos, 2019. "Implementing a Flood Vulnerability Index in urban coastal areas with industrial activity," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 97(1), pages 99-120, May.
    3. Noelia Guaita-García & Julia Martínez-Fernández & Carlos Javier Barrera-Causil & Miguel Ángel Esteve-Selma & H. Carl Fitz, 2021. "Local perceptions regarding a social–ecological system of the mediterranean coast: the Mar Menor (Región de Murcia, Spain)," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 2882-2909, February.

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