IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jrisks/v9y2021i1p15-d475059.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Retrospective Reserves and Bonus with Policyholder Behavior

Author

Listed:
  • Debbie Kusch Falden

    (Department of Mathematical Science (MATH), University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 5, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Anna Kamille Nyegaard

    (Department of Mathematical Science (MATH), University of Copenhagen, Universitetsparken 5, DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

Abstract

Legislation imposes insurance companies to project their assets and liabilities in various financial scenarios. Within the setup of with-profit life insurance, we consider retrospective reserves and bonus, and we study projection of balances with and without policyholder behavior. The projection resides in a system of differential equations of the savings account and the surplus, and the policyholder behavior options surrender and conversion to free-policy are included. The inclusion results in a structure where the system of differential equations of the savings account and the surplus is non-trivial. We consider a case where we are able to find accurate differential equations and suggest an approximation method to project the savings account and the surplus, including policyholder behavior, in general. To highlight the practical applications of the results in this paper, we study a numerical example.

Suggested Citation

  • Debbie Kusch Falden & Anna Kamille Nyegaard, 2021. "Retrospective Reserves and Bonus with Policyholder Behavior," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-28, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:9:y:2021:i:1:p:15-:d:475059
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/9/1/15/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/9/1/15/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stéphane Loisel, 2011. "Surrender risk and correlation crises," Post-Print hal-00671919, HAL.
    2. Kraft, Holger & Steffensen, Mogens, 2008. "Optimal Consumption and Insurance: A Continuous-time Markov Chain Approach," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 38(1), pages 231-257, May.
    3. Steffensen, Mogens, 2002. "Intervention options in life insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 71-85, August.
    4. Domenico De Giovanni, 2010. "Lapse rate modeling: a rational expectation approach," Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2010(1), pages 56-67.
    5. Pierre‐André Chiappori & Bruno Jullien & Bernard Salanié & François Salanié, 2006. "Asymmetric information in insurance: general testable implications," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 37(4), pages 783-798, December.
    6. Loisel, Stéphane & Milhaud, Xavier, 2011. "From deterministic to stochastic surrender risk models: Impact of correlation crises on economic capital," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 214(2), pages 348-357, October.
    7. Ninna Reitzel Jensen & Kristian Juul Schomacker, 2015. "A Two-Account Life Insurance Model for Scenario-Based Valuation Including Event Risk," Risks, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-36, June.
    8. Barsotti, Flavia & Milhaud, Xavier & Salhi, Yahia, 2016. "Lapse risk in life insurance: Correlation and contagion effects among policyholders’ behaviors," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 317-331.
    9. Christiansen, Marcus C. & Djehiche, Boualem, 2020. "Nonlinear reserving and multiple contract modifications in life insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 187-195.
    10. Ragnar Norberg, 1999. "A theory of bonus in life insurance," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 3(4), pages 373-390.
    11. Jamaal Ahmad & Kristian Buchardt & Christian Furrer, 2020. "Computation of bonus in multi-state life insurance," Papers 2007.04051, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    12. Campbell, Ritchie A, 1980. "The Demand for Life Insurance: An Application of the Economics of Uncertainty," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(5), pages 1155-1172, December.
    13. Richard, Scott F., 1975. "Optimal consumption, portfolio and life insurance rules for an uncertain lived individual in a continuous time model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 187-203, June.
    14. Barsotti, Flavia & Milhaud, Xavier & Salhi, Yahia, 2016. "Lapse risk in life insurance: Correlation and contagion effects among policyholders’ behaviors," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 317-331.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Corina Constantinescu & Julia Eisenberg, 2021. "Special Issue “Interplay between Financial and Actuarial Mathematics”," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-3, July.
    2. Anna Kamille Nyegaard & Johan Raunkjær Ott & Mogens Steffensen, 2021. "An Intrinsic Value Approach to Valuation with Forward–Backward Loops in Dividend Paying Stocks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(13), pages 1-23, June.
    3. Florian Gach & Simon Hochgerner & Eva Kienbacher & Gabriel Schachinger, 2023. "Mean-field Libor market model and valuation of long term guarantees," Papers 2310.09022, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Mark Kiermayer, 2021. "Modeling surrender risk in life insurance: theoretical and experimental insight," Papers 2101.11590, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    2. Zhao, Yixing & Mamon, Rogemar & Gao, Huan, 2018. "A two-decrement model for the valuation and risk measurement of a guaranteed annuity option," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 231-249.
    3. Francesca Biagini & Tobias Huber & Johannes G. Jaspersen & Andrea Mazzon, 2021. "Estimating extreme cancellation rates in life insurance," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 88(4), pages 971-1000, December.
    4. Martin Eling & Michael Kochanski, 2013. "Research on lapse in life insurance: what has been done and what needs to be done?," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(4), pages 392-413, August.
    5. Erhan Bayraktar & Virginia Young, 2013. "Life Insurance Purchasing to Maximize Utility of Household Consumption," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 114-135.
    6. Christoph Hambel & Holger Kraft & Lorenz S. Schendel & Mogens Steffensen, 2017. "Life Insurance Demand Under Health Shock Risk," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 84(4), pages 1171-1202, December.
    7. Jarner, Søren Fiig & Kronborg, Morten Tolver, 2016. "Entrance times of random walks: With applications to pension fund modeling," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1-20.
    8. Buchardt, Kristian, 2014. "Dependent interest and transition rates in life insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 167-179.
    9. Kraft, Holger & Schendel, Lorenz S. & Steffensen, Mogens, 2014. "Life insurance demand under health shock risk," SAFE Working Paper Series 40, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    10. Jiang Cheng & Lu Yu, 2019. "Life and health insurance consumption in China: demographic and environmental risks," The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - Issues and Practice, Palgrave Macmillan;The Geneva Association, vol. 44(1), pages 67-101, January.
    11. Barsotti, Flavia & Milhaud, Xavier & Salhi, Yahia, 2016. "Lapse risk in life insurance: Correlation and contagion effects among policyholders’ behaviors," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 317-331.
    12. Pliska, Stanley R. & Ye, Jinchun, 2007. "Optimal life insurance purchase and consumption/investment under uncertain lifetime," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1307-1319, May.
    13. Hainaut, Donatien, 2021. "Moment generating function of non-Markov self-excited claims processes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PB), pages 406-424.
    14. Marcus C. Christiansen & Christian Furrer, 2020. "Dynamics of state-wise prospective reserves in the presence of non-monotone information," Papers 2003.02173, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2021.
    15. Mrad, Fatma & Hamdi, Haykel & Naoui, Kamel & Abid, Ilyes, 2023. "The GMWB guarantee embedded in Life Insurance Contracts: Fair Value Pricing Problem," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    16. Jensen, N.R. & Steffensen, M., 2015. "Personal finance and life insurance under separation of risk aversion and elasticity of substitution," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 28-41.
    17. Barsotti, Flavia & Milhaud, Xavier & Salhi, Yahia, 2016. "Lapse risk in life insurance: Correlation and contagion effects among policyholders’ behaviors," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 317-331.
    18. Chang, Fwu-Ranq, 2004. "Life insurance, precautionary saving and contingent bequest," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 55-67, July.
    19. Huang, Huaxiong & Milevsky, Moshe A., 2008. "Portfolio choice and mortality-contingent claims: The general HARA case," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(11), pages 2444-2452, November.
    20. Han, Nan-Wei & Hung, Mao-Wei, 2017. "Optimal consumption, portfolio, and life insurance policies under interest rate and inflation risks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 54-67.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:9:y:2021:i:1:p:15-:d:475059. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.