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Analysis and Prediction of Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Ecosystem Service Value on the Northern Slopes of the Kunlun Mountains Based on Land Use

Author

Listed:
  • Zhichao Zhang

    (College of Grassland Science, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, China)

  • Yang Wang

    (College of Grassland Science, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, China)

  • Haisheng Tang

    (College of Grassland Science, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, China)

  • Zhen Zhu

    (College of Grassland Science, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, China)

Abstract

The ecological environment in the mountainous areas of southern Xinjiang is very sensitive and fragile, and identifying the ecological asset retention within the mountainous areas is a top priority at the current stage in the context of comprehensive environmental management in arid zones. This study examines the conversion and ecosystem service values between different land types within the mountainous areas based on a time series of land-use data from 1990 to 2020, and the results show that: (1) The value of ecosystem services on the northern slopes of the Kunlun Mountains shows an overall increasing trend. It increased from CNY 308.645 billion in 1990 to CNY 326.550 billion in 2020. Among them, the value of ecosystem services increased significantly between 2000 and 2010, with an increase of CNY 39.857 billion. Regulatory services accounted for more than 66% of the value of each ecosystem service. (2) Land use on the northern slopes of the Kunlun Mountains has changed significantly since 1990. The areas of cropland, forest land, grassland, watershed, and construction land have all shown an upward trend, with the greatest increase in construction land. The area of unutilized land, on the other hand, has slightly decreased. (3) The value of ecosystem services within the northern slopes of the Kunlun Mountains was spatially high in the south, low in the north, and higher in the west than in the east. The study also found a significant positive spatial correlation between ecosystem service values. In the spatial distribution, the increasing areas were mainly distributed in the southeast, and the decreasing areas were in the north. Changes in land types are expected to include an increase in the area of grassland and woodland, a decrease in unutilized land and cropland, and an overall improvement in the ecological environment of the northern slopes of the Kunlun Mountains in the next decade. This study also provides lessons and references for sustainable development and ecological protection in ecologically fragile regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhichao Zhang & Yang Wang & Haisheng Tang & Zhen Zhu, 2023. "Analysis and Prediction of Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Ecosystem Service Value on the Northern Slopes of the Kunlun Mountains Based on Land Use," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-21, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:12:p:2123-:d:1291360
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yan Chen & Erqi Xu, 2023. "The Spatiotemporal Change in Land Cover and Discrepancies within Different Countries on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau over a Recent 30-Year Period," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-21, September.
    2. Costanza, Robert & d'Arge, Ralph & de Groot, Rudolf & Farber, Stephen & Grasso, Monica & Hannon, Bruce & Limburg, Karin & Naeem, Shahid & O'Neill, Robert V. & Paruelo, Jose, 1998. "The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 3-15, April.
    3. Caixia Liu & Rui Xu & Kaiji Xu & Yiwen Lin & Yingui Cao, 2023. "Carbon Emission Effects of Land Use in Chaobai River Region of Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-23, June.
    4. Xiaofan Ma & Haifeng Zhang, 2023. "Land-Use/Land-Cover Change and Ecosystem Service Provision in Qinghai Province, China: From the Perspective of Five Ecological Function Zones," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-21, March.
    5. Xueqing Wu & Lele Zhang & Liming Gao & Yankun Li & Xuanchen Liu, 2023. "Change and Tradeoff/Synergy Analysis of Watershed Ecosystem Services: A Case Study of Qinghai Lake Basin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-15, July.
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