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Urban Expansion in China: Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Determinants

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  • Shengqiang Jing

    (College of Geoscience and Surveying Engineering, China University of Mining & Technology, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Yueguan Yan

    (College of Geoscience and Surveying Engineering, China University of Mining & Technology, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Fangqu Niu

    (Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China)

  • Wenhui Song

    (College of Geoscience and Surveying Engineering, China University of Mining & Technology, Beijing 100083, China)

Abstract

China’s urbanization has attracted many scholars’ attention due to its significant impact on socioeconomic sustainability. Many studies have explored the spatial pattern and effects of the factors influencing urban expansion. However, the spatiotemporal dynamics integrating spatial and temporal dimensions and the spatial scales of the influencing factors are always ignored. This study applied the framework of exploratory space–time data analysis (ESTDA) to investigate the spatiotemporal dynamics of urban expansion across 342 cities in China from 1990 to 2017 and, further, used multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) to estimate the effects of influencing factors on urban expansion. We found that urban expansion had an obvious south–north division, and yet the effects of influencing factors usually showed an east–west division. We also found that the dynamic local spatial dependency of urban expansion was accompanied by a volatile coevolution process and inclined to transfer from heterogeneity to homogeneity, and homogeneity tended to be stable. The coevolution of urban expansion between cities and other neighboring ones became stronger with increases in time and regional integration. These findings support the use of customized urban planning for specific regions in different spatial dependence to improve land-use efficiency and coordinate regional development.

Suggested Citation

  • Shengqiang Jing & Yueguan Yan & Fangqu Niu & Wenhui Song, 2022. "Urban Expansion in China: Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Determinants," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-16, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:11:y:2022:i:3:p:356-:d:760523
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yudan Zhang & Yuanqing Li & Yanan Chen & Shirao Liu & Qingyuan Yang, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Heterogeneity of Urban Land Expansion and Urban Population Growth under New Urbanization: A Case Study of Chongqing," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(13), pages 1-25, June.
    2. Liguo Zhang & Luchen Huang & Jinglin Xia & Kaifeng Duan, 2022. "Spatial-Temporal Evolution and Its Influencing Factors on Urban Land Use Efficiency in China’s Yangtze River Economic Belt," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-19, December.
    3. Xuning Qiao & Liang Liu & Yongju Yang & Yangyang Gu & Jinchan Zheng, 2022. "Urban Expansion Assessment Based on Optimal Granularity in the Huaihe River Basin of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-20, October.
    4. Huxiao Zhu & Xiangjun Ou & Zhen Yang & Yiwen Yang & Hongxin Ren & Le Tang, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Driving Forces of Land Urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-21, August.
    5. Fangqu Niu & Lan Wang & Wei Sun, 2023. "Spatiotemporal Characteristics and Determinants of Rural Construction Land in China’s Developed Areas: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Delta," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-19, October.

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