IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jjrfmx/v17y2024i3p104-d1349606.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predictive Power of Random Forests in Analyzing Risk Management in Islamic Banking

Author

Listed:
  • Ahmet Faruk Aysan

    (Non-Resident Fellow Middle East Council for Global Affairs (MECGA), Hamad Bin Khalifa University, Qatar Foundation, Doha P.O. Box 34110, Qatar)

  • Bekir Sait Ciftler

    (Data Science & Artificial Intelligence Department, College of Computing and IT, University of Doha for Science and Technology, Doha P.O. Box 34110, Qatar)

  • Ibrahim Musa Unal

    (College of Islamic Studies, Hamad Bin Khalifa University, Doha P.O. Box 34110, Qatar)

Abstract

This study utilizes the random forest technique to investigate risk management practices and concerns in Islamic banks using survey data from 2016 to 2021. Findings reveal that larger banks provide more consistent survey responses, driven by their confidence and larger survey budgets. Moreover, a positive link is established between a country’s development, characterized by high GDPs and low inflation and interest rates, and the precision of Islamic banks’ survey responses. Analyzing risk-related concerns, the study notes a significant reduction in credit portfolio risk attributed to improved risk management practices, global economic growth, stricter regulations, and diversified asset portfolios. Concerns related to terrorism financing and cybersecurity risks have also decreased due to the better enforcement of anti-money laundering regulations and investments in cybersecurity infrastructure and education. This research enhances our understanding of risk management in Islamic banks, highlighting the impact of bank size and country development. Additionally, it emphasizes the need for ongoing analysis beyond 2021 to account for potential COVID-19 effects and evolving risk management and regulatory practices in Islamic banking.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmet Faruk Aysan & Bekir Sait Ciftler & Ibrahim Musa Unal, 2024. "Predictive Power of Random Forests in Analyzing Risk Management in Islamic Banking," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-19, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:17:y:2024:i:3:p:104-:d:1349606
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/17/3/104/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/17/3/104/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ahmet Faruk Aysan & Abdelilah Belatik & Ibrahim Musa Unal & Rachid Ettaai, 2022. "Fintech Strategies of Islamic Banks: A Global Empirical Analysis," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 1(2), pages 1-10, June.
    2. Ahmet Faruk Aysan & Ibrahim Musa Unal, 2021. "Is Islamic Finance Evolving Into Fintech and Blockchain: A Bibliometric Analysis," Post-Print hal-03351153, HAL.
    3. Aebi, Vincent & Sabato, Gabriele & Schmid, Markus, 2012. "Risk management, corporate governance, and bank performance in the financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 3213-3226.
    4. Matthias Schonlau & Rosie Yuyan Zou, 2020. "The random forest algorithm for statistical learning," Stata Journal, StataCorp LLC, vol. 20(1), pages 3-29, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ayman Abdalmajeed Alsmadi, 2025. "Beyond compliance: exploring the synergy of Islamic Fintech and CSR in fostering inclusive financial adoption," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, December.
    2. Ahmet Faruk Aysan & Ibrahim Musa Unal, 2024. "The Institutionalization of Islamic Finance: Historical Context, Current Developments, and Future Directions," Post-Print hal-04669980, HAL.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Aysan, Ahmet Faruk & Unal, Ibrahim Musa, 2022. "Fintech, Digitalization, And Blockchain In Inslamic Finance: Retrospective Investigation," MPRA Paper 115399, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Ibrahim Musa Unal & Ahmet Faruk Aysan, 2022. "Fintech, Digitalization, and Blockchain in Islamic Finance: Retrospective Investigation," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 1(4), pages 1-11, November.
    3. Owen, Ann L. & Temesvary, Judit, 2018. "The performance effects of gender diversity on bank boards," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 50-63.
    4. Becker, Sascha O. & Voth, Hans-Joachim, 2023. "From the Death of God to the Rise of Hitler," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 688, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    5. Wang, Qiong & Wang, Huajie, 2023. "Independent directors’ information acquisition and corporate innovation: Evidence from corporate site visits," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    6. Saito, Jun, 2016. "Boards of directors and bank performance in United Arab Emirates," IDE Discussion Papers 583, Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO).
    7. Ichiro Iwasaki, 2015. "Global Financial Crisis, Ownership Change, and Corporate Governance Evolution Firm-Level Evidence from Russia," KIER Working Papers 925, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    8. Alin Marius Andries & Martin Brown, 2017. "Credit booms and busts in emerging markets," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 25(3), pages 377-437, July.
    9. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Chih-Wei & Liu, Fengyun, 2024. "Does green credit promote the performance of new energy companies and how? The role of R&D investment and financial development," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    10. Wu, Meng-Wen & Shen, Chung Hua, 2019. "Effects of shadow banking on bank risks from the view of capital adequacy," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 176-197.
    11. Ismaila Akanni Yusuf & Agatha Nkem Amadi & Mohammed Bashir Salaudeen, 2020. "Effects of Risk Culture and Appetite on Effective Risk Management in Nigerian Banks: Case Study of United Bank for Africa Plc," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 6(2), pages 81-87, June.
    12. Simona Galletta & Sebastiano Mazzù & Valeria Naciti, 2021. "Banks' business strategy and environmental effectiveness: The monitoring role of the board of directors and the managerial incentives," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(5), pages 2656-2670, July.
    13. Paolo Agnese & Paolo Capuano, 2020. "Risk Governance and Performance: Evidence From Eurozone¡¯s Large Banks," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 28-41, October.
    14. Ciprian MANEA, 2021. "A Managerial Approach on Reputational Risks in the Banking Sector under the Effects of Covid-19 Pandemic," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 1, pages 32-38.
    15. Bowo Setiyono & Amine Tarazi, 2018. "Does Diversity of Bank Board Members Affect Performance and Risk? Evidence from an Emerging Market," CSR, Sustainability, Ethics & Governance, in: Belén Díaz Díaz & Samuel O. Idowu & Philip Molyneux (ed.), Corporate Governance in Banking and Investor Protection, chapter 0, pages 185-218, Springer.
    16. Xiaxuan He & Qifeng Yuan & Yinghong Qin & Junwen Lu & Gang Li, 2024. "Analysis of Surface Urban Heat Island in the Guangzhou-Foshan Metropolitan Area Based on Local Climate Zones," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-34, October.
    17. Elizabeth Sheedy & Dominic S. B. Canestrari‐Soh, 2023. "Does executive accountability enhance risk management and risk culture?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(4), pages 4093-4124, December.
    18. Zhang, Junhuan & Cai, Kewei & Zhao, Qiuhong, 2025. "Warehouse receipt pledge financing using blockchain data asset," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    19. Chaivisuttangkun, Sirithida & Jiraporn, Pornsit, 2021. "The effect of co-opted directors on firm risk during a stressful time: Evidence from the financial crisis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
    20. Igan, Deniz & Mirzaei, Ali & Moore, Tomoe, 2023. "Does macroprudential policy alleviate the adverse impact of COVID-19 on the resilience of banks?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:17:y:2024:i:3:p:104-:d:1349606. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.