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Analysis of the Interaction Mechanism of the Risk Factors of Gas Explosions in Chinese Underground Coal Mines

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  • Jinjia Zhang

    (School of Public Administration, Northwest University, Xi’an 710069, China)

  • Yiping Zeng

    (Department of Statistics and Data Science, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518000, China)

  • Genserik Reniers

    (Faculty of Applied Economic Sciences, University of Antwerp, 2000 Antwerp, Belgium)

  • Jie Liu

    (Faculty of Public Security and Emergency Management, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650093, China)

Abstract

Gas explosion accidents easily cause severe casualties in Chinese underground coal mines. Systematic analysis of accident causation is crucial for the prevention of gas explosions. This study identifies the representative risk factors of gas explosions and determines the interrelationship among these risk factors to highlight weak links and develop countermeasures. A total of 21 representative risk factors of gas explosions were identified through 128 case studies and front-line investigations. On this basis, a five-level hierarchical structure model of gas explosions was established to explore the complex interrelationships among the representative risk factors based on a combination of the Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) and Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM) methods. Moreover, the Matrix of Cross Impact Multiplications Applied to Classification (MICMAC) method was applied to achieve risk factor classification into four clusters, namely, driving factors, linkage factors, dependent factors and autonomous factors. The results indicated that the interrelationships and emergence properties among the risk factors may cause gas explosions, which should give more attention to the interrelationships among multiple factors and multiple subsystems for coal enterprises. Meanwhile, the complex geological conditions, poor safety supervision, inadequate safety education and training, incomplete execution safety regulations and poor safety technology and input are the long-term focus of risk management for coal enterprises. Finally, 10 countermeasures were proposed to control these representative risk factors and interrelationships. The results are helpful to the development of gas explosion risk management policies and to the preferential allocation of limited resources to resolve these issues.

Suggested Citation

  • Jinjia Zhang & Yiping Zeng & Genserik Reniers & Jie Liu, 2022. "Analysis of the Interaction Mechanism of the Risk Factors of Gas Explosions in Chinese Underground Coal Mines," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(2), pages 1-18, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:2:p:1002-:d:726453
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Uusitalo, Laura, 2007. "Advantages and challenges of Bayesian networks in environmental modelling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 203(3), pages 312-318.
    2. Arif Emre Dursun, 2020. "Statistical analysis of methane explosions in Turkey’s underground coal mines and some recommendations for the prevention of these accidents: 2010–2017," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(1), pages 329-351, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lixia Niu & Wende Xia & Yafan Qiao, 2022. "The Influence of Leader Bottom-Line Mentality on Miners’ Safety Behavior: A Moderated Parallel Mediation Model Based on the Dual-System Theory," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(18), pages 1-21, September.
    2. Grzegorz Ginda & Marta Szyba, 2023. "Identification of Key Factors for the Development of Agricultural Biogas Plants in Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-19, November.

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