IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jecomi/v12y2023i1p7-d1307972.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

External Debt Determinants: Do Macroeconomic and Institutional Ones Matter for Selected ASEAN Developing Countries?

Author

Listed:
  • Edi Harsono

    (Directorate of General of Taxes, Ministry of Finance, Jakarta 10110, Indonesia)

  • Andi Kusumawati

    (Departement of Accounting, Faculty of Economics and Business, Hasanuddin University, Makassar 90245, Indonesia)

  • Nirwana Nirwana

    (Departement of Accounting, Faculty of Economics and Business, Hasanuddin University, Makassar 90245, Indonesia)

Abstract

Developing nations have the task of effectively managing their external debt. The government is urged to comprehend the decisive component in managing its external debt, despite the varying viewpoints among economists. In addition, the world sees the need for institutional quality to optimize its economic policy. Institutional quality shows accountability, stability, effectiveness, quality, law, and trust. Our research examines the determinant factors of external debt and discusses the policy to manage external debt. We regress the inflation rate, exchange rate, interest rate, trade openness, and institutional quality on external debt. This study also uses moderated regression analysis to examine the interaction between institutional quality and macroeconomic indicators on external debt. We selected 52 samples from five ASEAN developing countries from 2008 to 2019. The first study found that the inflation rate, interest rate, and institutional quality have a negative impact on external debt, while the exchange rate and trade openness have a positive impact on external debt. Next, we were surprised that institutional quality could not moderate the relationship between the inflation rate, exchange rate, and interest rate on external debt. Further, it only moderated the relationship between trade openness and external debt. In the end, we discuss the external debt determinants from the selected ASEAN developing countries with the theories.

Suggested Citation

  • Edi Harsono & Andi Kusumawati & Nirwana Nirwana, 2023. "External Debt Determinants: Do Macroeconomic and Institutional Ones Matter for Selected ASEAN Developing Countries?," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-17, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:12:y:2023:i:1:p:7-:d:1307972
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/1/7/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/1/7/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abdul Waheed, 2017. "Determinants of External Debt: A Panel Data Analysis for Oil and Gas Exporting and Importing Countries," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(1), pages 234-240.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Abdoul’ Ganiou Mijiyawa & Djoulassi K. Oloufade, 2023. "Effect of Remittance Inflows on External Debt in Developing Countries," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 437-470, April.
    2. Anselm Komla Abotsi, 2024. "Fiscal policy sustainability and public debt in Africa," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-18, January.
    3. Abdul Aziz Bin Karia, 2021. "Are there any turning points for external debt in Malaysia? Case of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems model," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, December.
    4. Sandra Bernardo & Maria Luísa Vasconcelos & Fátima Rocha, 2024. "The Widening of the North–South Divide: Debt Sustainability in a World Weakened by COVID-19," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-27, February.
    5. Mohd Shahidan Shaari & Faiz Masnan & Mohd Juraij Abd Rani & Zaharah Zainal Abidin & Abdul Rahim Ridzuan & Norreha Othman, 2023. "The Grim Cost of Economic Growth and Environmental Degradation: A Comprehensive Panel ARDL Study of Public Debt in the ASEAN-5 Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-15, July.
    6. Monoj Kumar Majumder & Mala Raghavan & Joaquin Vespignani, 2020. "Commodity price volatility, external debt and exchange rate regimes," CAMA Working Papers 2020-110, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    7. Monoj Kumar Majumder & Mala Valliammai Raghavan & Joaquin L. Vespignani, 2021. "Impact of commodity price volatility on external debt: the role of exchange rate regimes," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(57), pages 6626-6640, December.
    8. Shujaat Abbas & Shahida Wizarat & Sadia Mansoor, 2020. "External Debt Distress in South Asia: Evidence from Panel Data Analysis," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 9(2), pages 221-236, December.
    9. Hodabalo Bataka, 2023. "Economic globalization and public debt in Sub‐Saharan Africa," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1756-1771, April.
    10. Waheed, Abdul & Abbas, Shujaat, 2021. "Determinants and Sustainability of External Debt: A Panel Data Analysis for Selected Islamic Countries," MPRA Paper 107486, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:12:y:2023:i:1:p:7-:d:1307972. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.