IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/fip/fednci/y2009isepnv.15no.5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Is the worst over? Economic indexes and the course of the recession in New York and New Jersey

Author

Listed:
  • Jason Bram
  • James A. Orr
  • Robert W. Rich
  • Rae D. Rosen
  • Joseph Song

Abstract

The New York-New Jersey region entered a pronounced downturn in 2008, but the pace of decline eased considerably in spring 2009 and then leveled off in July, according to three key Federal Reserve Bank of New York economic indexes. These developments, in conjunction with a growing consensus that the national economy is headed for recovery, suggest that the worst may be over for the region's economy. However, a downsizing of the area's critical finance sector could pose a major risk to the economic outlook going forward--particularly for New York City.

Suggested Citation

  • Jason Bram & James A. Orr & Robert W. Rich & Rae D. Rosen & Joseph Song, 2009. "Is the worst over? Economic indexes and the course of the recession in New York and New Jersey," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 15(Sep).
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednci:y:2009:i:sep:n:v.15no.5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/current_issues/ci15-5.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/current_issues/ci15-5.html
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jason Bram & James A. Orr & Rae D. Rosen, 2008. "Employment in the New York - New Jersey Region: 2008 review and outlook," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 14(Sep).
    2. James A. Orr & Robert W. Rich & Rae D. Rosen, 1999. "Two new indexes offer a broad view of economic activity in the New York - New Jersey region," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 5(Oct).
    3. Robert Rich & Jason Bram & Andrew Haughwout & James Orr & Rae Rosen & Rebecca Sela, 2005. "Using Regional Economic Indexes to Forecast Tax Bases: Evidence from New York," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 87(4), pages 627-634, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Arias, Maria A. & Gascon, Charles S. & Rapach, David E., 2016. "Metro business cycles," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 90-108.
    2. Eric Doviak & Sean MacDonald, 2010. "Forecasting the New York State Economy with "Terraced" VARs and Coincident Indices," New York Economic Review, New York State Economics Association (NYSEA), vol. 41(1), pages 14-34.
    3. Richard Deitz & Andrew F. Haughwout & Charles Steindel, 2010. "The recession's impact on the state budgets of New York and New Jersey," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 16(Jun/Jul).
    4. James A. Orr & John Sporn, 2012. "The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009: a review of stimulus spending in New York and New Jersey," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 18(Sept).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jason Bram & James A. Orr & Rae D. Rosen, 2007. "Job growth in New York and New Jersey: mid-2007 review and outlook," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 13(Aug).
    2. Todd E. Clark & Michael W. Mccracken, 2014. "Tests Of Equal Forecast Accuracy For Overlapping Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 415-430, April.
    3. Jason Bram & James A. Orr, 2006. "Taking the pulse of the New York City economy," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 12(May).
    4. James A. Orr & Rae D. Rosen, 2004. "New York and New Jersey poised for modest job growth in 2005," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 10(Dec).
    5. Jesse Edgerton & Andrew F. Haughwout & Rae D. Rosen, 2004. "Revenue implications of New York City's tax system," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 10(Apr).
    6. Erica L. Groshen & Simon M. Potter & Rebecca J. Sela, 2004. "Economic restructuring in New York State," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 10(Jun).
    7. Donatella Baiardi & Carluccio Bianchi, 2012. "Un Indicatore per la Lombardia e per le Province di Milano e Pavia (Nuova versione)," Quaderni di Dipartimento 158, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    8. Michael A. Kouparitsas & Daisuke J. Nakajima, 2006. "Are U.S. and Seventh District business cycles alike?," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, vol. 30(Q III), pages 45-60.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fednci:y:2009:i:sep:n:v.15no.5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: . General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbnyus.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbnyus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.