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World population in 2050: assessing the projections: discussion

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  • Cynthia B. Lloyd

Abstract

Joel Cohen was asked by the conference organizers to focus a critical eye on demographic projections and to give special attention to the outlook for the elderly and for total dependency ratios. He was very faithful to his assignment. I have only a few points to raise about his paper before going on to discuss one issue that he did not cover (and was not asked to cover) but that I think should be addressed as part of a comprehensive treatment of population prospects for the year 2050. The issue is the current youth bulge in many of the world's poorest countries that have yet to reap the economic benefits of the demographic transition.

Suggested Citation

  • Cynthia B. Lloyd, 2001. "World population in 2050: assessing the projections: discussion," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, vol. 46.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedbcp:y:2001:n:46:x:12
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    File URL: http://www.bostonfed.org/economic/conf/conf46/conf46d2.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jan Willem Gunning & Paul Collier, 1999. "Explaining African Economic Performance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(1), pages 64-111, March.
    2. Cynthia B. Lloyd & Carol E. Kaufman & Paul Hewett, 2000. "The Spread of Primary Schooling in sub‐Saharan Africa: Implications for Fertility Change," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 26(3), pages 483-515, September.
    3. Ronald Rindfuss, 1991. "The Young Adult Years: Diversity, Structural Change, and Fertility," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 28(4), pages 493-512, November.
    4. Diane J. Macunovich, 2000. "Relative Cohort Size: Source of a Unifying Theory of Global Fertility Transition?," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 26(2), pages 235-261, June.
    5. Schultz, T. Paul, 2001. "School subsidies for the poor," FCND briefs 102, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    6. Sahn, David E. & Stifel, David C., 2000. "Poverty Comparisons Over Time and Across Countries in Africa," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 28(12), pages 2123-2155, December.
    7. Deon Filmer & Lant Pritchett, 1999. "The Effect of Household Wealth on Educational Attainment: Evidence from 35 Countries," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 25(1), pages 85-120, March.
    8. Ravallion, Martin & Wodon, Quentin, 2000. "Does Child Labour Displace Schooling? Evidence on Behavioural Responses to an Enrollment Subsidy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 110(462), pages 158-175, March.
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