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Optimización dinámica aplicada al acuífero de San Luis Potosí

Author

Listed:
  • Noraima E. Rangel Sánchez

    (UASLP)

  • Leobardo Pedro Plata Perez

    (UASLP)

  • Pedro I. González Ramírez

    (UASLP)

Abstract

Este trabajo usa teoría de control óptimo para determinar el nivel de extracción de agua, de un acuífero, de manera racional. La función objetivo evalúa el valor presente del beneficio social neto de la explotación a lo largo del tiempo. En el beneficio intervienen la demanda y los costos de suministrar agua. La restricción representa la dinámica de la cantidad de agua en el acuífero, dependiendo de los niveles extracción y recarga. El modelo se aplica al acuífero 2411 de San Luis Potosí utilizando información empírica del consumo de agua de la población perteneciente a la zona conurbada de la capital del estado. La condición inicial se deja como parámetro para analizar la posibilidad tanto de óptimo interior como de óptimo de esquina. El óptimo interior recomienda un nivel de extracción de 42,854 miles de metros cúbicos y un precio de 0.00003658 pesos por metro cúbico de agua. El acuífero se encuentra actualmente muy sobreexplotado. Para mantener la sustentabilidad del acuífero se recomienda revisar la normativa de las tarifas y mejorar la micro medición de los consumos para construir un modelo más preciso.

Suggested Citation

  • Noraima E. Rangel Sánchez & Leobardo Pedro Plata Perez & Pedro I. González Ramírez, 2022. "Optimización dinámica aplicada al acuífero de San Luis Potosí," Ensayos Revista de Economía, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, vol. 41(2), pages 135-168, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:41:y:2022:i:2:id:197
    DOI: 10.29105/ensayos41.2-2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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