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Halving poverty in Mexico

  • Juan Carlos Chávez-Martín del Campo

    ()

    (Profesor-investigador de la Escuela de Economía, Universidad de Guanajuato, UCEA-Campus Marfil, Guanajuato, Gto.)

  • Manuel Gómez

    ()

    (Profesor-investigador de la Escuela de Economía, Universidad de Guanajuato, UCEA-Campus Marfil, Guanajuato, Gto.)

We estimate the required time and the minimum necessary growth rate to halve poverty incidence and poverty intensity in Mexico’s rural and urban areas for a series of counterfactual distribution and growth scenarios. Results show that, given the current income distribution, per capita incomes in the rural area would have to grow faster –in some cases eight times faster– than they have done historically to shrink poverty by half by 2015. In contrast, income in the urban sector would have to grow around 1 per cent per year to reach the same goal, which seems a more reasonable outcome given its behavior in past years.

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File URL: http://www.economiamexicana.cide.edu/num_anteriores/XVIII-1/04_Poverty_107-121.pdf
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Article provided by in its journal Economia Mexicana NUEVA EPOCA.

Volume (Year): XVIII (2009)
Issue (Month): 1 (January-June)
Pages: 107-121

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Handle: RePEc:emc:ecomex:v:18:y:2009:i:1:p:107-121
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