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The estimation of origin-destination matrices by constrained generalised least squares

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  • Bell, Michael G. H.

Abstract

The Generalised Least Squares (GLS) approach to the estimation of Origin-Destination (OD) matrices permits the combination of survey and traffic count data in a way that allows for the relative accuracy of the two data sources. However, the procedure may result in estimates that infringe non-negativity or other constraints on the fitted values. A simple algorithm to solve the GLS problem subject to inequality constraints is presented and its convergence is proven. Expressions are derived for the variances and covariances of the fitted values both without active constraints. It is demonstrated that the imposition of inequality constraints can improve the accuracy of those fitted values directly and indirectly affected them, by reducing their sensitivity to error in the inputs.

Suggested Citation

  • Bell, Michael G. H., 1991. "The estimation of origin-destination matrices by constrained generalised least squares," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 13-22, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transb:v:25:y:1991:i:1:p:13-22
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    1. Bierlaire, M. & Toint, Ph. L., 1995. "Meuse: An origin-destination matrix estimator that exploits structure," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 47-60, February.
    2. Chao Sun & Yulin Chang & Yuji Shi & Lin Cheng & Jie Ma, 2019. "Subnetwork Origin-Destination Matrix Estimation Under Travel Demand Constraints," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 1123-1142, December.
    3. Lo, Hing-Po & Chan, Chi-Pak, 2003. "Simultaneous estimation of an origin-destination matrix and link choice proportions using traffic counts," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 771-788, November.
    4. S. Travis Waller & Sai Chand & Aleksa Zlojutro & Divya Nair & Chence Niu & Jason Wang & Xiang Zhang & Vinayak V. Dixit, 2021. "Rapidex: A Novel Tool to Estimate Origin–Destination Trips Using Pervasive Traffic Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-27, October.
    5. Lo, H. P. & Zhang, N. & Lam, W. H. K., 1996. "Estimation of an origin-destination matrix with random link choice proportions: A statistical approach," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 309-324, August.
    6. Tao Li, 2017. "A Demand Estimator Based on a Nested Logit Model," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 51(3), pages 918-930, August.
    7. Siripirote, Treerapot & Sumalee, Agachai & Ho, H.W. & Lam, William H.K., 2015. "Statistical approach for activity-based model calibration based on plate scanning and traffic counts data," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 280-300.
    8. Yang, Yudi & Fan, Yueyue, 2015. "Data dependent input control for origin–destination demand estimation using observability analysis," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 385-403.
    9. Melendez, Kevin A. & Das, Tapas K. & Kwon, Changhyun, 2020. "Optimal operation of a system of charging hubs and a fleet of shared autonomous electric vehicles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    10. Owais, Mahmoud & Moussa, Ghada S. & Hussain, Khaled F., 2019. "Sensor location model for O/D estimation: Multi-criteria meta-heuristics approach," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 6(C).
    11. Kumar, Anshuman Anjani & Kang, Jee Eun & Kwon, Changhyun & Nikolaev, Alexander, 2016. "Inferring origin-destination pairs and utility-based travel preferences of shared mobility system users in a multi-modal environment," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 270-291.
    12. Menon, Aditya Krishna & Cai, Chen & Wang, Weihong & Wen, Tao & Chen, Fang, 2015. "Fine-grained OD estimation with automated zoning and sparsity regularisation," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 150-172.
    13. Blume, Steffen O.P. & Corman, Francesco & Sansavini, Giovanni, 2022. "Bayesian origin-destination estimation in networked transit systems using nodal in- and outflow counts," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 60-94.
    14. Yang, Yudi & Fan, Yueyue & Royset, Johannes O., 2019. "Estimating probability distributions of travel demand on a congested network," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 265-286.
    15. Susan Jia Xu & Mehdi Nourinejad & Xuebo Lai & Joseph Y. J. Chow, 2018. "Network Learning via Multiagent Inverse Transportation Problems," Service Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(6), pages 1347-1364, December.
    16. Wong, S. C. & Tong, C. O., 1998. "Estimation of time-dependent origin-destination matrices for transit networks," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 35-48, January.
    17. Gunnar Flötteröd & Michel Bierlaire & Kai Nagel, 2011. "Bayesian Demand Calibration for Dynamic Traffic Simulations," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(4), pages 541-561, November.
    18. Dimitris Bertsimas & Julia Yan, 2018. "From Physical Properties of Transportation Flows to Demand Estimation: An Optimization Approach," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(4), pages 1002-1011, August.
    19. Li, Tao & Wan, Yan, 2019. "Estimating the geographic distribution of originating air travel demand using a bi-level optimization model," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 267-291.

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