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The two-stage RUL prediction across operation conditions using deep transfer learning and insufficient degradation data

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  • Cheng, Han
  • Kong, Xianguang
  • Wang, Qibin
  • Ma, Hongbo
  • Yang, Shengkang

Abstract

The remaining useful life (RUL) prediction provides an essential basis for improving mechanical equipment reliability. In practical application, the variant of working conditions and incomplete degradation data seriously deteriorate the performance of the prognostic models. In order to conquer this problem, a two-stage RUL prediction method is proposed for the cross-domain prognostic task with insufficient degradation data. At first, the two-level alarm mechanism is employed to detect the first predicting time (FPT) of each mechanical entity adaptively. Then, the deep separable convolutional network with the double transferable attention mechanism (DSCN-DTAM) is proposed to construct the cross-domain prognostic model. In DSCN-DTAM, multiple regularization strategies can guide the model to extract domain-invariant features, and the double transferable attention mechanism is designed to select the degradation information with high transferability. Finally, the proposed method is verified by multiple transfer prognostic tasks designed by two bearing datasets. Compared with other methods, the proposed method shows superior performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheng, Han & Kong, Xianguang & Wang, Qibin & Ma, Hongbo & Yang, Shengkang, 2022. "The two-stage RUL prediction across operation conditions using deep transfer learning and insufficient degradation data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:225:y:2022:i:c:s0951832022002277
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2022.108581
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zhang, Wei & Li, Xiang & Ma, Hui & Luo, Zhong & Li, Xu, 2021. "Transfer learning using deep representation regularization in remaining useful life prediction across operating conditions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    2. Ding, Yifei & Jia, Minping & Miao, Qiuhua & Huang, Peng, 2021. "Remaining useful life estimation using deep metric transfer learning for kernel regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    3. Shi, Zunya & Chehade, Abdallah, 2021. "A dual-LSTM framework combining change point detection and remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    4. Ahmad, Wasim & Khan, Sheraz Ali & Islam, M M Manjurul & Kim, Jong-Myon, 2019. "A reliable technique for remaining useful life estimation of rolling element bearings using dynamic regression models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 67-76.
    5. Li, Xiang & Zhang, Wei & Ding, Qian, 2019. "Deep learning-based remaining useful life estimation of bearings using multi-scale feature extraction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 208-218.
    6. da Costa, Paulo Roberto de Oliveira & Akçay, Alp & Zhang, Yingqian & Kaymak, Uzay, 2020. "Remaining useful lifetime prediction via deep domain adaptation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Ma, Shuaiyin & Huang, Yuming & Liu, Yang & Kong, Xianguang & Yin, Lei & Chen, Gaige, 2023. "Edge-cloud cooperation-driven smart and sustainable production for energy-intensive manufacturing industries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 337(C).
    2. Cheng, Han & Kong, Xianguang & Wang, Qibin & Ma, Hongbo & Yang, Shengkang & Xu, Kun, 2023. "Remaining useful life prediction combined dynamic model with transfer learning under insufficient degradation data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).

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