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Selecting significant contextual factors and estimating their effects on operator reliability in computer-based control rooms

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  • Kim, Yochan
  • Park, Jinkyun
  • Presley, Mary

Abstract

To realistically quantify human reliability and generate concrete evidence for improving man–machine interfaces, the collection and analysis of empirical human reliability data is essential. In this study, we statistically modeled the reliability of nuclear power plant operators under various contexts using data from fully computerized control rooms. The data, obtained from a full-scope simulator of the APR1400 (Advanced Power Reactor 1400 MW) via the HuREX (human reliability data extraction) framework, were analyzed with multivariable regression. To select the significant variables and estimate the effects of the selected variables among 55 candidates, 4 strategies were employed. From this analysis, insights regarding the variable selection and impact estimation processes were obtained. In addition, the effects of six contextual variables that were commonly selected in the different approaches are discussed in detail.

Suggested Citation

  • Kim, Yochan & Park, Jinkyun & Presley, Mary, 2021. "Selecting significant contextual factors and estimating their effects on operator reliability in computer-based control rooms," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:213:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021002179
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107679
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    1. James Chang, Y. & Bley, Dennis & Criscione, Lawrence & Kirwan, Barry & Mosleh, Ali & Madary, Todd & Nowell, Rodney & Richards, Robert & Roth, Emilie M. & Sieben, Scott & Zoulis, Antonios, 2014. "The SACADA database for human reliability and human performance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 117-133.
    2. Kim, Yochan & Park, Jinkyun, 2019. "Incorporating prior knowledge with simulation data to estimate PSF multipliers using Bayesian logistic regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 210-217.
    3. Liao, Huafei & Forester, John & Dang, Vinh N. & Bye, Andreas & Chang, Yung Hsien J. & Lois, Erasmia, 2019. "Assessment of HRA method predictions against operating crew performance: Part I: Study background, design and methodology," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    4. Liao, Huafei & Forester, John & Dang, Vinh N. & Bye, Andreas & Chang, Yung Hsien J. & Lois, Erasmia, 2019. "Assessment of HRA method predictions against operating crew performance: Part III: Conclusions and achievements," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    5. Patriarca, Riccardo & Ramos, Marilia & Paltrinieri, Nicola & Massaiu, Salvatore & Costantino, Francesco & Di Gravio, Giulio & Boring, Ronald Laurids, 2020. "Human reliability analysis: Exploring the intellectual structure of a research field," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    6. Jung, Wondea & Park, Jinkyun & Kim, Yochan & Choi, Sun Yeong & Kim, Seunghwan, 2020. "HuREX – A framework of HRA data collection from simulators in nuclear power plants," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    7. Porthin, Markus & Liinasuo, Marja & Kling, Terhi, 2020. "Effects of digitalization of nuclear power plant control rooms on human reliability analysis – A review," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    8. Groth, Katrina M. & Smith, Curtis L. & Swiler, Laura P., 2014. "A Bayesian method for using simulator data to enhance human error probabilities assigned by existing HRA methods," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 32-40.
    9. Kim, Yochan & Park, Jinkyun & Jung, Wondea & Choi, Sun Yeong & Kim, Seunghwan, 2018. "Estimating the quantitative relation between PSFs and HEPs from full-scope simulator data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 12-22.
    10. Kim, Yochan & Park, Jinkyun & Jung, Wondea & Jang, Inseok & Hyun Seong, Poong, 2015. "A statistical approach to estimating effects of performance shaping factors on human error probabilities of soft controls," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 378-387.
    11. Abrishami, Shokoufeh & Khakzad, Nima & Hosseini, Seyed Mahmoud, 2020. "A data-based comparison of BN-HRA models in assessing human error probability: An offshore evacuation case study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    12. Kim, Yochan & Park, Jinkyun & Jung, Wondea, 2017. "A classification scheme of erroneous behaviors for human error probability estimations based on simulator data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 1-13.
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    Cited by:

    1. Moghadasi, Negin & Collier, Zachary A. & Koch, Andrew & Slutzky, David L. & Polmateer, Thomas L. & Manasco, Mark C. & Lambert, James H., 2022. "Trust and security of electric vehicle-to-grid systems and hardware supply chains," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    2. Catelani, Marcantonio & Ciani, Lorenzo & Guidi, Giulia & Patrizi, Gabriele, 2021. "An enhanced SHERPA (E-SHERPA) method for human reliability analysis in railway engineering," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    3. Kim, Yochan & Choi, Sun Yeong & Park, Jinkyun & Kim, Jaewhan, 2022. "Empirical study on human error probability of procedure-extraneous behaviors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    4. Na, Kyumin & Yoon, Heonjun & Kim, Jaedong & Kim, Sungjong & Youn, Byeng D., 2023. "PERL: Probabilistic energy-ratio-based localization for boiler tube leaks using descriptors of acoustic emission signals," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    5. Asadayoobi, N. & Taghipour, S. & Jaber, M.Y., 2022. "Predicting human reliability based on probabilistic mission completion time using Bayesian Network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    6. Park, Jooyoung & Boring, Ronald L. & Ulrich, Thomas A. & Lew, Roger & Lee, Sungheon & Park, Bumjun & Kim, Jonghyun, 2022. "A framework to collect human reliability analysis data for nuclear power plants using a simplified simulator and student operators," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    7. Hu, Lunhu & Pan, Xing & Ding, Song & Zuo, Dujun & Kang, Rui, 2022. "A quantitative input for evaluating human error of visual Neglection: Prediction of Operator's detection time spent on perceiving critical visual signal," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).

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