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Extended Phase-type models for multistate competing risk systems

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  • Cui, Lirong
  • Wu, Bei

Abstract

Two extended Phase-type models with competing risks for failures of Markov repairable systems with absorbing states are presented in this article. We divide the states into three subsets: perfect, imperfect and failure (absorption) for a Markov repairable system. Two models are developed in terms of the proposed failure criteria of the repairable system. For model 1, the system failure criteria of the repairable system are, whichever occurs first, (1) when the system goes into the failure state (absorption state), or (2) when the system transfers from imperfect states to other states, and before that time the transitions from perfect to imperfect states reached a specified number. For model 2, there still are two criteria whichever occurs first. The first one is the same as failure criterion (1) in model 1, but failure criterion (2) is replaced by (3) which is when the sojourn time in imperfect states exceeds a given threshold. Under two models, two distributions are proposed, which are extensions of the well-known Phase-type distribution. Some reliability indexes under two models, such as the distributions of lifetimes, the point-wise availabilities, various interval availabilities, are given. Finally, some numerical examples are presented to illustrate the results obtained in this article.

Suggested Citation

  • Cui, Lirong & Wu, Bei, 2019. "Extended Phase-type models for multistate competing risk systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 1-16.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:181:y:2019:i:c:p:1-16
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2018.08.015
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kim, Heungseob & Kim, Pansoo, 2017. "Reliability models for a nonrepairable system with heterogeneous components having a phase-type time-to-failure distribution," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 37-46.
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    5. Lirong Cui & Quan Zhang & Dejing Kong, 2016. "Some New Concepts and Their Computational Formulae in Aggregated Stochastic Processes with Classifications Based on Sojourn Times," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 999-1019, December.
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    8. Jingyuan Shen & Lirong Cui, 2016. "Reliability performance for dynamic systems with cycles of regimes," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(4), pages 389-402, April.
    9. Li, Yan & Cui, Lirong & Lin, Cong, 2017. "Modeling and analysis for multi-state systems with discrete-time Markov regime-switching," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 41-49.
    10. Shijia Du & Lirong Cui & Cong Lin, 2016. "Some reliability indexes and sojourn time distributions for a repairable degradation model," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 230(3), pages 334-349, June.
    11. Bocchetti, D. & Giorgio, M. & Guida, M. & Pulcini, G., 2009. "A competing risk model for the reliability of cylinder liners in marine Diesel engines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(8), pages 1299-1307.
    12. Liu, Baoliang & Cui, Lirong & Wen, Yanqing & Shen, Jingyuan, 2013. "A performance measure for Markov system with stochastic supply patterns and stochastic demand patterns," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 294-299.
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    6. Eryilmaz, Serkan & Devrim, Yilser, 2019. "Reliability and optimal replacement policy for a k-out-of-n system subject to shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 393-397.
    7. Cihangir Kan & Serkan Eryilmaz, 2021. "Reliability assessment of a discrete time cold standby repairable system," TOP: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 29(3), pages 613-628, October.
    8. Dong, Wenjie & Liu, Sifeng & Tao, Liangyan & Cao, Yingsai & Fang, Zhigeng, 2019. "Reliability variation of multi-state components with inertial effect of deteriorating output performances," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 176-185.
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    12. Yi, He & Cui, Lirong & Balakrishnan, Narayanaswamy, 2021. "New reliability indices for first- and second-order discrete-time aggregated semi-Markov systems with an application to TT&C system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).

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