IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v112y2013icp165-175.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Remaining useful life estimation based on stochastic deterioration models: A comparative study

Author

Listed:
  • Le Son, Khanh
  • Fouladirad, Mitra
  • Barros, Anne
  • Levrat, Eric
  • Iung, Benoît

Abstract

Prognostic of system lifetime is a basic requirement for condition-based maintenance in many application domains where safety, reliability, and availability are considered of first importance. This paper presents a probabilistic method for prognostic applied to the 2008 PHM Conference Challenge data. A stochastic process (Wiener process) combined with a data analysis method (Principal Component Analysis) is proposed to model the deterioration of the components and to estimate the RUL on a case study. The advantages of our probabilistic approach are pointed out and a comparison with existing results on the same data is made.

Suggested Citation

  • Le Son, Khanh & Fouladirad, Mitra & Barros, Anne & Levrat, Eric & Iung, Benoît, 2013. "Remaining useful life estimation based on stochastic deterioration models: A comparative study," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 165-175.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:112:y:2013:i:c:p:165-175
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2012.11.022
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832012002529
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2012.11.022?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Muller, Alexandre & Suhner, Marie-Christine & Iung, Benoît, 2008. "Formalisation of a new prognosis model for supporting proactive maintenance implementation on industrial system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 234-253.
    2. Wang, X. & Rabiei, M. & Hurtado, J. & Modarres, M. & Hoffman, P., 2009. "A probabilistic-based airframe integrity management model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(5), pages 932-941.
    3. Zio, Enrico & Peloni, Giovanni, 2011. "Particle filtering prognostic estimation of the remaining useful life of nonlinear components," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(3), pages 403-409.
    4. Li, Baibing & Martin, Elaine B. & Morris, A. Julian, 2002. "On principal component analysis in L1," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 471-474, September.
    5. Si, Xiao-Sheng & Wang, Wenbin & Hu, Chang-Hua & Zhou, Dong-Hua, 2011. "Remaining useful life estimation - A review on the statistical data driven approaches," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 1-14, August.
    6. Hyndman, Rob J. & Koehler, Anne B., 2006. "Another look at measures of forecast accuracy," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 679-688.
    7. Wang, Wenbin, 2007. "A two-stage prognosis model in condition based maintenance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 182(3), pages 1177-1187, November.
    8. Wang, Xiao, 2010. "Wiener processes with random effects for degradation data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(2), pages 340-351, February.
    9. Zio, Enrico & Di Maio, Francesco, 2010. "A data-driven fuzzy approach for predicting the remaining useful life in dynamic failure scenarios of a nuclear system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(1), pages 49-57.
    10. Hu, Chao & Youn, Byeng D. & Wang, Pingfeng & Taek Yoon, Joung, 2012. "Ensemble of data-driven prognostic algorithms for robust prediction of remaining useful life," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 120-135.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. An, Dawn & Choi, Joo-Ho & Kim, Nam Ho, 2013. "Prognostics 101: A tutorial for particle filter-based prognostics algorithm using Matlab," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 161-169.
    2. Likun Ren & Weimin Lv & Shiwei Jiang, 2018. "Machine prognostics based on sparse representation model," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 277-285, February.
    3. Wang, Zhaoqiang & Hu, Changhua & Wang, Wenbin & Zhou, Zhijie & Si, Xiaosheng, 2014. "A case study of remaining storage life prediction using stochastic filtering with the influence of condition monitoring," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 186-195.
    4. Zhengxin Zhang & Xiaosheng Si & Changhua Hu & Xiangyu Kong, 2015. "Degradation modeling–based remaining useful life estimation: A review on approaches for systems with heterogeneity," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(4), pages 343-355, August.
    5. Hai-Kun Wang & Yan-Feng Li & Yu Liu & Yuan-Jian Yang & Hong-Zhong Huang, 2015. "Remaining useful life estimation under degradation and shock damage," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(3), pages 200-208, June.
    6. Xi, Zhimin & Jing, Rong & Wang, Pingfeng & Hu, Chao, 2014. "A copula-based sampling method for data-driven prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 72-82.
    7. Wang, Hai-Kun & Li, Yan-Feng & Huang, Hong-Zhong & Jin, Tongdan, 2017. "Near-extreme system condition and near-extreme remaining useful time for a group of products," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 103-110.
    8. Baraldi, Piero & Mangili, Francesca & Zio, Enrico, 2013. "Investigation of uncertainty treatment capability of model-based and data-driven prognostic methods using simulated data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 94-108.
    9. Faisal Khan & Omer F. Eker & Atif Khan & Wasim Orfali, 2018. "Adaptive Degradation Prognostic Reasoning by Particle Filter with a Neural Network Degradation Model for Turbofan Jet Engine," Data, MDPI, vol. 3(4), pages 1-21, November.
    10. Zhang, Zhengxin & Si, Xiaosheng & Hu, Changhua & Lei, Yaguo, 2018. "Degradation data analysis and remaining useful life estimation: A review on Wiener-process-based methods," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(3), pages 775-796.
    11. Abdenour Soualhi & Mourad Lamraoui & Bilal Elyousfi & Hubert Razik, 2022. "PHM SURVEY: Implementation of Prognostic Methods for Monitoring Industrial Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-24, September.
    12. Hu, Yang & Baraldi, Piero & Di Maio, Francesco & Zio, Enrico, 2015. "A particle filtering and kernel smoothing-based approach for new design component prognostics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 19-31.
    13. Zhang, Jian-Xun & Hu, Chang-Hua & He, Xiao & Si, Xiao-Sheng & Liu, Yang & Zhou, Dong-Hua, 2017. "Lifetime prognostics for deteriorating systems with time-varying random jumps," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 338-350.
    14. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2017. "A new approach for the quantification of qualitative measures of economic expectations," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 51(6), pages 2685-2706, November.
    15. Zhang, Jian-Xun & Si, Xiao-Sheng & Du, Dang-Bo & Hu, Chang-Hua & Hu, Chen, 2020. "A novel iterative approach of lifetime estimation for standby systems with deteriorating spare parts," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    16. García Nieto, P.J. & García-Gonzalo, E. & Sánchez Lasheras, F. & de Cos Juez, F.J., 2015. "Hybrid PSO–SVM-based method for forecasting of the remaining useful life for aircraft engines and evaluation of its reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 219-231.
    17. Jin, Guang & Matthews, David E. & Zhou, Zhongbao, 2013. "A Bayesian framework for on-line degradation assessment and residual life prediction of secondary batteries inspacecraft," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 7-20.
    18. Costa, Nahuel & Sánchez, Luciano, 2022. "Variational encoding approach for interpretable assessment of remaining useful life estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    19. Shengjin Tang & Chuanqiang Yu & Xue Wang & Xiaosong Guo & Xiaosheng Si, 2014. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on the Wiener Process with Measurement Error," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-28, January.
    20. Zhu, Yongmeng & Wu, Jiechang & Wu, Jun & Liu, Shuyong, 2022. "Dimensionality reduce-based for remaining useful life prediction of machining tools with multisensor fusion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:112:y:2013:i:c:p:165-175. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.